NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	98		Excitement	4.0 [1020]		MVP	Jarvis Hayes (NJN): +13.3%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	1.9 [899]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -18.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.01	0.03	6	107%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	2	117%	0.08	2	0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.08	10	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	7	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	18	39%	-0.06	4	-0.08	10	80%	-0.02
Vince Carter	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	21	34%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.00	0.05	10	88%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	11	83%	0.11	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	17	57%	0.09	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	5	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	17	55%	0.03	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.04
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	28.2	15.6	30.3	2.3	30.6	133.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +32.2%

DAL +3.4%

DAL +1.0%

DAL +8.2%

DAL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.5	110.1	128.4	106.4
season	16.0	15.6		106.5	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		107.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	18.0	15.4	14.2	15.9
DAL	15.3	17.1	16.6	17.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	41	39	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.16	8	-23	31	15.4	16.2	-0.79	18.0	15.6	2.37
Yi Jianlian	37	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-16	17	15.4	16.2	-0.83	17.3	16.3	1.00
Keyon Dooling	55	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-14	13	15.9	15.9	0.02	16.9	16.4	0.50
Ryan Anderson	40	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-15	15	15.0	16.5	-1.48	16.7	16.7	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	43	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	0	-15	17.7	14.1	3.59	16.2	17.1	-0.87
Devin Harris	74	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-11	7	15.7	16.9	-1.20	16.9	15.3	1.61
Vince Carter	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	4	-23	15.7	16.6	-0.97	16.6	16.9	-0.27
Trenton Hassell	37	38	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	7	-29	15.9	15.9	-0.00	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Brook Lopez	48	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.10	-23	8	-31	16.2	15.4	0.79	15.6	18.0	-2.37

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	69	68	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.09	25	-10	35	16.2	18.6	-2.42	15.5	17.1	-1.67
Antoine Wright	75	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-1	17	16.5	17.5	-1.01	15.2	19.8	-4.66
Jason Kidd	73	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.03	21	-6	27	16.1	19.5	-3.44	15.9	15.9	-0.07
Josh Howard	73	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.19	26	-11	37	16.2	18.8	-2.55	15.8	16.3	-0.50
Dirk Nowitzki	70	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-1	17	16.7	16.7	0.02	15.5	17.4	-1.84
Matt Carroll	7	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	19	-23	18.1	16.6	1.59	14.0	16.0	-2.00
Devean George	7	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.02	-3	18	-21	19.0	16.5	2.52	20.0	15.6	4.43
Jose Juan Barea	29	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	26	-37	18.7	15.7	3.05	17.5	15.1	2.33
Brandon Bass	37	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	26	-37	17.6	16.0	1.67	17.2	14.9	2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 89, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DET 88, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIN 104, HOU 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%