NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	88		Excitement	4.4 [922]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +8.8%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	1.6 [871]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -15.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	4	87%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	9	78%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	6	67%	0.07	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Eric Montross	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	6	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terry Mills	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	17	62%	0.10	6	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Loy Vaught	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.02	0.07	15	76%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	74%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	4	56%	0.05	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	59%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	33.0	14.5	27.2	2.6	28.6	131.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.6%

DET -4.3%

NYK +1.0%

NYK +15.8%

NYK +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	17.2	15.2	94.6	111.1	101.7
season	14.1	16.1		104.2	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.3		98.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.3	14.6	16.0	12.5	14.3
NYK	16.3	17.6	16.7	18.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	50	46	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.21	10	-22	32	13.6	15.1	-1.50	17.5	17.0	0.50
Loy Vaught	14	15	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-17	22	18.2	13.6	4.59	18.8	16.9	1.91
Jud Buechler	47	44	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.25	11	-23	34	13.1	15.6	-2.48	17.7	16.7	1.05
Mikki Moore	33	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-16	20	14.1	14.4	-0.34	18.1	16.7	1.35
Eric Montross	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-13	14	15.0	14.2	0.83	16.3	17.4	-1.13
John Crotty	49	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-18	24	14.7	13.9	0.81	18.0	16.3	1.65
Lindsey Hunter	61	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	2	-16	14.2	14.5	-0.33	17.2	17.3	-0.11
Terry Mills	40	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	6	-24	13.9	14.6	-0.72	16.3	17.8	-1.55
Michael Curry	59	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	8	-28	14.4	14.1	0.26	16.9	17.8	-0.86
Jerry Stackhouse	53	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	8	-28	14.3	14.3	-0.07	16.4	18.3	-1.82
Christian Laettner	43	43	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.10	-25	13	-38	15.1	13.6	1.50	16.9	17.5	-0.63

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	71	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.02	20	-8	28	16.9	18.4	-1.47	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Patrick Ewing	62	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.01	19	-7	26	16.5	18.8	-2.29	14.0	15.1	-1.13
Charlie Ward	43	43	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.05	16	-4	20	16.6	17.7	-1.12	15.2	13.5	1.71
Latrell Sprewell	67	70	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-2	16	17.0	17.9	-0.94	14.7	13.1	1.63
Larry Johnson	59	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	4	4	17.9	15.9	1.95	15.7	12.1	3.59
Kurt Thomas	58	61	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	15	-18	17.7	16.3	1.35	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Rick Brunson	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	14	-16	18.5	16.8	1.70	12.9	14.8	-1.90
Chris Dudley	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	17.2	17.2	0.04	6.0	14.8	-8.78
David Wingate	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	12.5	17.3	-4.82	4.3	14.6	-10.31
Chris Childs	47	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	16	-20	17.7	16.6	1.12	13.5	15.2	-1.71
John Wallace	13	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	20	-28	16.8	17.3	-0.52	17.3	13.8	3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NYK 79, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1	95.3%
MIN 89, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%