NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	83		Excitement	4.1 [969]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +19.9%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	1.9 [822]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -14.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.02	0.05	11	69%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.06	7	50%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	15	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	11	25%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	5	64%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02
Michael Redd	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	19	52%	0.04	4	-0.13	10	90%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	8	12%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.06	-0.01	15	69%	0.24	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.24	0.02	0.06	13	84%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	57%	0.12	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Augustine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	6	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	10	37%	-0.10	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	32.5	19.6	27.5	2.8	32.2	141.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +40.0%

ORL +17.4%

MIL -19.4%

ORL +12.7%

MIL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.4	93.3	112.1	105.7
season	15.8	15.1		103.4	109.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		104.6	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	18.8	20.2	14.7	17.1
ORL	13.1	13.1	15.8	17.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	37	39	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-23	27	15.9	18.0	-2.15	15.5	14.5	0.98
Dan Gadzuric	19	20	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.20	-5	-14	9	18.6	16.7	1.92	16.3	14.5	1.79
Royal Ivey	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	11.2	17.6	-6.39	16.0	14.8	1.18
Michael Ruffin	14	15	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.01	0	-19	19	14.9	17.5	-2.69	14.3	15.0	-0.76
Bobby Simmons	44	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-10	1	16.7	17.5	-0.78	15.3	14.5	0.82
Charlie Villanueva	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	-8	-3	18.4	16.3	2.08	15.3	14.7	0.58
Yi Jianlian	48	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-9	-1	17.1	17.2	-0.09	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Desmond Mason	57	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-18	17	16.2	18.7	-2.54	15.0	14.7	0.37
Mo Williams	63	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	2	-23	17.4	16.5	0.94	15.2	14.2	1.04
Andrew Bogut	57	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	-5	-9	17.1	17.2	-0.15	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Michael Redd	66	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.31	-30	11	-41	18.6	12.8	5.80	13.9	17.7	-3.87

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	56	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.17	28	-9	37	14.0	16.3	-2.34	17.7	16.1	1.69
Rashard Lewis	58	58	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.16	26	-7	33	13.9	16.6	-2.72	17.9	15.6	2.32
Dwight Howard	57	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.22	28	-9	37	13.4	17.4	-3.96	19.0	14.0	4.96
Keith Bogans	32	34	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	5	9	13.7	15.5	-1.82	18.9	16.1	2.80
Hedo Turkoglu	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	2	15	14.5	15.7	-1.11	18.5	14.0	4.43
Pat Garrity	47	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.31	15	4	11	16.0	13.7	2.32	17.0	17.3	-0.33
Keyon Dooling	37	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.16	8	11	-3	16.2	14.0	2.17	16.2	17.6	-1.40
James Augustine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	15.2	14.9	0.32	9.6	17.6	-7.97
JJ Redick	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	24	-29	14.5	15.0	-0.46	14.5	17.7	-3.20
Trevor Ariza	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.30	-13	32	-45	16.3	14.6	1.71	12.3	18.1	-5.84
Adonal Foyle	34	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	28	-37	17.4	13.4	3.96	14.0	19.0	-4.96
Carlos Arroyo	35	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.12	-9	28	-37	16.3	14.0	2.34	16.1	17.7	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
POR 69, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DET 88, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%