NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	92		Excitement	4.1 [1013]		MVP	Tony Battie (ORL): +10.6%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	1.7 [912]		LVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): -12.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.00	0.11	13	61%	0.00	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.00
Alan Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Burleson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Bernard Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	48%	0.02	3	-0.05	11	36%	-0.06
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	11	36%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	14	36%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	41%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	8	84%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	62%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.06	11	76%	0.07	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	14	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	53%	0.07	5	-0.11	12	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.4	28.8	15.6	27.7	2.0	37.4	141.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.3%

ORL +8.8%

ORL +6.2%

CHA -7.4%

CHA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	15.6	92.0	110.2	104.4
season	14.8	16.4		100.5	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.3	17.3	16.4	10.1	14.0
ORL	13.9	17.9	14.2	15.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Burleson	29	32	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-19	22	14.6	13.8	0.85	12.3	16.4	-4.07
Matt Carroll	31	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.10	-1	-15	14	11.5	15.1	-3.63	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Alan Anderson	14	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-25	34	9.4	14.8	-5.34	17.2	14.8	2.38
Raymond Felton	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-15	14	13.1	15.6	-2.46	16.1	13.2	2.90
Bernard Robinson	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	13.6	14.4	-0.84	16.1	14.2	1.90
Keith Bogans	62	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-2	-12	13.1	15.5	-2.39	15.0	15.2	-0.16
Jumaine Jones	75	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-7	-2	13.2	16.6	-3.39	14.3	17.2	-2.93
Gerald Wallace	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-5	-6	15.7	10.2	5.46	15.5	14.1	1.44
Primoz Brezec	56	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	7	-30	15.9	11.7	4.22	15.0	15.2	-0.23
Brevin Knight	54	51	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.15	-24	8	-32	15.9	11.8	4.18	15.4	14.8	0.57

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	77	83	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.06	26	-10	36	15.5	13.6	1.92	14.8	10.3	4.49
Tony Battie	62	59	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.07	24	-8	32	15.1	15.0	0.17	15.6	11.8	3.84
Dwight Howard	79	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	-3	22	14.8	16.3	-1.53	14.1	13.6	0.50
Steve Francis	83	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-4	24	14.6	18.0	-3.45	14.3	12.6	1.66
DeShawn Stevenson	72	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	-1	18	15.0	15.4	-0.41	14.3	13.2	1.07
Hedo Turkoglu	32	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	14	-12	15.5	14.9	0.62	14.7	13.7	0.97
Terence Morris	8	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	16.1	15.0	1.14	8.6	14.6	-6.02
Bo Outlaw	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.21	-10	26	-36	15.2	15.0	0.24	11.9	15.5	-3.61
Travis Diener	36	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.28	-14	30	-44	15.4	14.9	0.53	11.4	15.3	-3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
HOU 81, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DET 88, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%