inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 94 Excitement4.3 [588] MVPAnthony Johnson (ATL): +6.7%
Atlanta Hawks 106 Comeback3.3 [392] LVPVitaly Potapenko (BOS): -13.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Jones0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.00-0.00-0.05850%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Greg Minor0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.01-0.01-0.031045%0.0300.0000%0.00
Eric Riley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marlon Garnett-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.010.04562%-0.0200.00683%-0.01
Walter McCarty-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00650%-0.012-0.04475%-0.01
Dana Barros-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.05-0.061064%0.106-0.162100%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.02-0.020.061755%-0.031-0.03875%0.01
Tony Battie-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.000.001040%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.030.011541%-0.093-0.05450%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.024100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.001765%0.134-0.096100%0.04
Mookie Blaylock0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.001354%0.071-0.032100%0.02
Grant Long0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.01762%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Jeff Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01175%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Roshown McLeod0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00475%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Chris Crawford0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.020.03970%0.052-0.065100%0.03
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00650%-0.0200.00450%-0.03
Ed Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.13-0.01-0.11330%-0.004-0.03475%-0.00
Tyrone Corbin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.010.041050%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mark West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.04210%-0.0700.00617%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.72.028.015.829.21.736.2133.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +18.3%
ATL +13.6%
ATL +1.1%
ATL +14.6%
ATL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSATLNBABOSATLNBA
this game14.715.015.896.9109.399.6
season15.016.798.197.2
opponent16.315.894.9100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.714.418.211.714.7
ATL16.614.413.116.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Riley9100.20-0.700.89-0.1010-223216.214.51.7220.114.45.65
Damon Jones41430.04-0.540.59-0.167-192614.215.0-0.8515.414.80.61
Walter McCarty5959-0.12-0.380.27-0.172-141613.616.3-2.7713.617.2-3.58
Marlon Garnett2831-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.10-7-5-213.915.0-1.0314.915.1-0.19
Greg Minor6766-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.09-8-4-415.213.51.6315.813.42.42
Vitaly Potapenko6867-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.04-120-1214.614.7-0.0415.015.2-0.24
Paul Pierce8888-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.18-10-2-814.416.9-2.4614.519.8-5.23
Tony Battie6565-0.560.06-0.63-0.01-197-2615.612.72.9915.813.42.38
Dana Barros6056-0.570.07-0.630.11-2311-3414.914.30.5914.415.8-1.38

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Crawford67660.73-0.230.96-0.0627-154214.516.3-1.8415.313.32.01
Mookie Blaylock63630.72-0.220.94-0.0727-154214.416.3-1.9016.012.13.96
Steven Smith66660.57-0.070.640.0418-62415.613.91.6615.812.33.48
Dikembe Mutombo52540.470.030.44-0.0317-52215.114.90.2217.111.65.53
Grant Long65640.450.050.400.0414-21615.813.42.4215.912.23.71
Anthony Johnson46460.020.48-0.460.20-618-2414.715.3-0.6012.716.4-3.65
Roshown McLeod15160.000.50-0.500.15-517-2211.215.7-4.5310.115.6-5.43
Jeff Sheppard990.000.50-0.500.06-214-167.915.8-7.879.915.1-5.26
Mark West4140-0.120.62-0.730.15-921-3015.814.51.2612.116.4-4.27
Tyrone Corbin3535-0.170.67-0.840.09-921-3018.113.34.7314.414.8-0.41
Ed Gray2626-0.180.68-0.860.17-1224-3614.615.2-0.6210.716.1-5.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 118, HOU 1230.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.2%
NJN 103, IND 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.1%
ATL 107, WAS 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,1,193.6%