NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	118		Excitement	5.4 [745]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +21.2%
Houston Rockets	123		Comeback	2.7 [799]		LVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): -11.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.24	0.01	0.04	17	80%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.01	0.07	9	85%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	133%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.01	0.08	18	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	17	51%	0.04	4	-0.10	7	71%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	13	38%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.01	-0.00	13	79%	0.24	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.03	12	81%	0.19	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	17	59%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	9	48%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	14	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Wiltjer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	-0.09	11	27%	-0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	25.4	14.8	23.1	1.8	27.2	116.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +18.5%

HOU +4.5%

HOU +5.9%

HOU +20.2%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	12.9	14.8	116.8	121.8	107.7
season	15.3	13.7		109.3	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	16.7	16.8	13.5	15.6
HOU	12.2	11.0	13.8	14.7	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	34	34	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.46	19	-24	43	13.3	16.8	-3.47	13.6	12.5	1.10
Adreian Payne	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-19	33	10.7	16.2	-5.49	15.1	12.6	2.49
Shabazz Muhammad	48	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.34	10	-15	25	14.3	16.8	-2.54	13.2	12.6	0.60
Tyus Jones	60	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.38	10	-15	25	14.9	16.6	-1.66	13.2	12.5	0.68
Omri Casspi	41	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	2	-9	16.0	15.4	0.63	12.2	13.4	-1.19
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	76	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-7	9	15.9	14.9	0.94	13.1	12.4	0.71
Kris Dunn	65	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-8	11	15.5	15.8	-0.28	13.3	12.0	1.28
Brandon Rush	50	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	8	-21	16.6	14.6	2.01	12.8	12.9	-0.10
Gorgui Dieng	57	56	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.23	-30	25	-55	17.1	13.7	3.40	11.9	14.1	-2.24
Andrew Wiggins	63	62	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	0.22	-33	28	-61	16.8	13.7	3.15	12.3	13.8	-1.56

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	71	72	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.15	19	-14	33	12.6	13.5	-0.91	16.5	13.4	3.10
Ryan Anderson	67	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.16	17	-12	29	12.4	13.9	-1.49	16.1	14.6	1.47
Clint Capela	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.04	18	-13	31	12.8	13.0	-0.22	16.5	14.3	2.23
Trevor Ariza	82	81	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-5	15	13.0	12.6	0.32	15.3	16.7	-1.40
Patrick Beverley	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-8	21	13.3	12.2	1.06	15.8	15.3	0.43
Troy Williams	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	9	-13	16.7	12.7	4.01	12.8	15.8	-2.97
Kyle Wiltjer	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	10	-15	16.7	12.8	3.89	10.3	15.8	-5.45
Isaiah Taylor	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	10	-15	19.5	12.8	6.74	8.0	15.8	-7.78
Bobby Brown	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	10	-15	19.5	12.8	6.74	8.0	15.8	-7.78
Eric Gordon	55	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	6	-7	12.3	13.5	-1.20	16.1	15.0	1.04
Nene	35	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.17	-8	13	-21	12.7	13.0	-0.27	14.6	16.2	-1.62
Lou Williams	53	53	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.54	-24	29	-53	13.0	12.8	0.19	14.4	17.0	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%
BOS 94, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHX 90, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%