NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	5.6 [657]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +7.4%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	2.5 [335]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -16.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	9	55%	-0.03	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	0.06	30	49%	-0.05	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.03	-0.05	14	41%	-0.05	6	-0.11	6	33%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	19	34%	-0.12	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	19	69%	0.11	5	-0.03	16	87%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	9	41%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.02	-0.09	15	46%	0.06	7	-0.15	5	60%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	42%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	14	40%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.8	36.3	15.6	25.3	2.6	34.4	140.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.2%

GSW +15.7%

GSW +15.2%

PHX -3.9%

PHX -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	12.6	14.8	15.5	85.7	95.2	101.6
season	15.0	14.6		101.1	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.9		106.8	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.4	12.7	13.3	11.0	12.6
GSW	15.4	15.6	12.4	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	29	26	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-13	16	12.3	12.7	-0.38	14.5	14.9	-0.41
Alton Ford	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-11	12	11.7	12.7	-1.04	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Bo Outlaw	14	13	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-12	14	15.1	12.2	2.83	17.2	14.5	2.76
Scott Williams	22	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-4	-2	13.9	12.3	1.57	15.4	14.6	0.72
Dan Langhi	21	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-8	6	13.3	12.5	0.83	15.8	14.6	1.22
Casey Jacobsen	38	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-10	10	11.3	13.4	-2.04	14.7	14.9	-0.15
Jake Voskuhl	36	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.13	-3	-7	4	12.7	12.6	0.20	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Stephon Marbury	93	94	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-5	0	12.4	14.0	-1.56	14.6	16.4	-1.74
Shawn Marion	97	98	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-4	-2	12.3	16.0	-3.66	14.8	14.9	-0.05
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	2	-14	12.8	11.9	0.96	15.0	14.0	0.95
Anfernee Hardaway	83	82	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.06	-22	12	-34	12.8	12.0	0.73	14.6	15.5	-0.86

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-9	28	13.7	18.3	-4.60	12.6	12.8	-0.26
Erick Dampier	63	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-5	20	13.3	17.0	-3.65	13.1	11.9	1.19
Gilbert Arenas	87	87	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	0	10	13.9	19.4	-5.53	12.4	13.5	-1.06
Antawn Jamison	88	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-1	12	14.6	16.1	-1.56	12.4	13.6	-1.23
Jason Richardson	84	83	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.24	4	6	-2	15.2	13.1	2.08	12.9	11.7	1.13
Earl Boykins	59	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	10	-10	15.0	14.6	0.43	11.8	13.7	-1.92
Mike Dunleavy	16	18	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.02	3	7	-4	18.7	14.1	4.65	12.8	12.6	0.26
Oscar Torres	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	7	-4	16.5	14.7	1.79	13.5	12.6	0.93
Adonal Foyle	35	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	18	-26	18.5	13.0	5.51	13.2	12.3	0.83
Danny Fortson	8	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	17	-24	19.6	14.4	5.21	13.9	12.5	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ATL 107, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,1,1	94.2%
NJN 72, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%