NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	72		Excitement	3.7 [1016]		MVP	Michael Cage (NJN): +4.5%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	1.6 [1029]		LVP	Chris Gatling (NJN): -19.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Cage	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
David Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	6	29%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	14	21%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	9	30%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.05	0.03	14	48%	-0.06	6	-0.14	1	0%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	70%	0.08	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.00	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	15	45%	-0.09	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	24.3	15.4	25.2	1.8	26.3	118.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.8%

NJN -1.2%

CHI +13.9%

CHI +9.7%

CHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	14.8	15.6	79.1	97.8	102.5
season	15.6	16.2		104.9	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		97.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.2	18.5	18.3	13.4	17.0
CHI	12.6	16.6	13.0	17.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	36	37	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-21	26	15.6	18.0	-2.38	15.2	14.5	0.77
Lucious Harris	47	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	15.6	18.6	-2.99	15.1	14.5	0.65
Rony Seikaly	19	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-21	26	12.2	18.3	-6.08	18.2	14.0	4.18
Brian Evans	42	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-15	14	15.4	18.4	-3.05	14.4	15.1	-0.69
David Vaughn	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-8	0	16.2	17.8	-1.59	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Chris Gatling	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-10	4	17.4	16.2	1.21	15.3	13.7	1.63
Kendall Gill	49	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-1	-14	18.4	15.4	3.05	15.1	14.4	0.69
Kerry Kittles	44	44	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	1	-18	18.6	15.6	2.99	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Michael Cage	61	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.15	-23	7	-30	18.7	13.6	5.10	13.5	17.7	-4.30
Sam Cassell	55	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.09	-21	5	-26	18.0	15.6	2.38	14.5	15.2	-0.77

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	54	54	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.17	26	-10	36	13.3	17.1	-3.82	18.0	15.6	2.41
Ron Harper	54	54	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.17	26	-10	36	13.3	17.1	-3.82	18.0	15.6	2.41
Scottie Pippen	57	58	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.10	23	-7	30	14.3	15.7	-1.39	18.1	15.2	2.84
Dennis Rodman	77	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.06	21	-5	26	14.4	17.1	-2.67	18.0	12.6	5.41
Michael Jordan	62	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.14	22	-6	28	14.4	15.6	-1.24	17.7	15.4	2.24
Jud Buechler	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	19	-22	15.8	14.3	1.47	14.3	18.2	-3.93
Dickey Simpkins	23	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	22	-28	17.3	13.9	3.38	13.4	18.3	-4.90
Joe Kleine	26	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	27	-38	16.9	13.9	2.95	15.9	17.5	-1.66
Scott Burrell	28	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.20	-11	27	-38	17.0	13.8	3.16	16.4	17.3	-0.93
Steve Kerr	42	42	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	23	-30	15.9	13.8	2.09	15.4	18.4	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.4%
SAS 72, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NJN 76, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%