NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	72		Excitement	3.4 [1157]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (NOH): +10.9%
New Orleans Hornets	96		Comeback	1.6 [492]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -15.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.01	-0.07	9	44%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Owens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	5	55%	-0.03	1	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	11	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.02	0.06	10	90%	0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.07	8	79%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	11	75%	0.11	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	25.1	15.4	26.3	2.6	28.5	124.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +30.6%

SAS -5.3%

NOH +19.4%

NOH +7.4%

SAS -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NOH	NBA	SAS	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	17.2	15.5	83.7	109.1	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		109.3	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.2		104.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	17.0	18.4	12.0	15.9
NOH	15.6	17.2	15.9	19.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Owens	22	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-24	24	12.0	17.3	-5.33	19.8	16.2	3.66
Chris Quinn	26	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-23	22	12.2	17.5	-5.34	19.1	16.2	2.89
Gary Neal	52	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.16	-7	-17	10	15.6	16.4	-0.86	18.4	15.2	3.25
George Hill	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.23	-11	-13	2	17.6	14.8	2.79	17.1	17.2	-0.13
Antonio McDyess	21	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-19	14	16.9	15.6	1.24	16.5	17.4	-0.83
Tiago Splitter	43	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.16	-9	-15	6	15.4	16.5	-1.09	18.6	15.6	3.06
DeJuan Blair	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-16	8	15.1	17.1	-2.03	17.5	16.7	0.81
Manu Ginobili	41	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-13	2	15.7	16.2	-0.50	16.6	17.8	-1.20
Tim Duncan	43	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-9	-6	16.5	15.4	1.09	15.6	18.6	-3.06
Richard Jefferson	52	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	0	-24	17.3	13.7	3.61	15.4	19.7	-4.27
Tony Parker	45	44	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.24	-29	5	-34	18.2	13.4	4.83	15.6	18.8	-3.20

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	36	37	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.24	29	-5	34	15.6	18.3	-2.73	18.3	14.1	4.22
Trevor Ariza	46	47	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	-2	28	15.8	18.7	-2.86	18.0	13.4	4.68
David West	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	0	24	15.8	19.5	-3.70	17.1	13.9	3.25
Chris Paul	56	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.18	20	4	16	16.0	19.2	-3.27	17.2	13.7	3.45
Emeka Okafor	58	56	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	3	18	15.8	19.8	-4.04	16.4	15.0	1.46
Quincy Pondexter	27	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	26	-28	19.7	16.1	3.60	13.7	16.9	-3.19
DJ Mbenga	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	28	-32	21.2	15.8	5.35	13.7	16.7	-2.94
Jason Smith	26	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	18	-12	18.6	16.6	2.00	16.9	15.5	1.47
Willie Green	21	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.19	7	17	-10	15.2	17.8	-2.54	16.1	15.9	0.17
David Andersen	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	21.4	16.7	4.76	7.7	16.8	-9.01
Marcus Thornton	45	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	25	-26	18.9	15.4	3.47	13.2	18.5	-5.38
Jarrett Jack	39	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	30	-36	19.2	15.6	3.56	13.4	17.8	-4.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 76, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 83, NJN 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NJN 72, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%