NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	83		Excitement	4.3 [947]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +15.5%
New Jersey Nets	117		Comeback	1.5 [741]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -19.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	17%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	10	32%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	13	31%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	14	44%	-0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.05	0.00	22	43%	-0.11	4	-0.09	9	56%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	15	76%	0.18	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	7	55%	0.06	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	-0.00	0.09	11	68%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	125%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	14	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.7	31.2	15.3	27.4	2.5	28.7	128.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +23.9%

NJN +11.4%

SAC -2.9%

NJN +10.4%

NJN +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	15.6	81.4	113.6	102.3
season	14.2	14.7		106.6	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.5		98.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.0	13.4	13.5	15.2	13.8
NJN	15.8	14.3	13.2	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.38	-13	-21	8	14.9	13.6	1.34	11.1	14.8	-3.70
Mateen Cleaves	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.38	-13	-21	8	14.9	13.6	1.34	11.1	14.8	-3.70
Gerald Wallace	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-23	12	15.0	13.5	1.46	12.0	14.8	-2.77
Scot Pollard	43	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.45	-16	-18	2	14.8	13.0	1.79	15.5	13.5	2.03
Hedo Turkoglu	58	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.49	-18	-16	-2	14.2	13.2	1.05	15.0	13.4	1.59
Bobby Jackson	35	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-29	24	14.1	13.6	0.50	16.7	13.1	3.55
Doug Christie	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	-19	4	13.4	14.3	-0.90	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Chris Webber	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-18	2	13.3	14.6	-1.31	14.5	14.1	0.43
Vlade Divac	58	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	-17	0	13.0	14.7	-1.75	13.5	15.5	-2.03
Mike Bibby	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	-10	-14	13.4	14.6	-1.22	14.6	13.8	0.76
Peja Stojakovic	71	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.14	-22	-12	-10	13.6	14.1	-0.49	14.3	14.5	-0.26

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.16	22	12	10	14.3	14.4	-0.05	14.0	13.3	0.64
Kerry Kittles	72	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.02	17	17	0	14.4	14.1	0.35	12.9	15.8	-2.95
Keith Van Horn	61	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.04	17	17	0	14.0	14.9	-0.95	13.4	14.3	-0.86
Todd MacCulloch	49	49	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	21	-8	13.8	14.9	-1.08	13.4	14.1	-0.71
Kenyon Martin	45	48	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.10	16	18	-2	14.9	13.9	1.05	14.4	13.2	1.21
Richard Jefferson	60	59	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.24	11	23	-12	15.1	13.3	1.86	14.0	13.4	0.66
Brian Scalabrine	30	27	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.36	15	19	-4	14.3	14.4	-0.10	12.9	14.1	-1.13
Aaron Williams	22	23	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	29	-24	14.7	14.2	0.49	13.6	13.8	-0.19
Lucious Harris	51	51	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.46	17	17	0	15.1	13.6	1.58	14.5	13.1	1.39
Jason Collins	32	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.44	16	18	-2	14.9	14.1	0.87	14.5	13.5	1.01
Donny Marshall	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	25	-16	9.6	14.8	-5.25	13.3	13.8	-0.46
Anthony Johnson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.35	12	22	-10	10.4	14.9	-4.44	14.9	13.6	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 73, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIN 100, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAC 85, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%