NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	6.0 [583]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +8.5%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	1.9 [767]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): -14.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yi Jianlian	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	9	39%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Charlie Bell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Awvee Storey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.03	16	56%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	16	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.10
Charlie Villanueva	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	12	65%	0.17	4	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	87%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.09	0.03	6	47%	0.12	2	-0.10	7	86%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	39%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	22	33%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	31.0	15.7	27.2	1.8	34.2	134.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.4%

MIL -3.3%

NJN +20.9%

MIL -10.1%

NJN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	17.0	15.2	15.4	89.9	96.7	105.7
season	15.8	15.4		103.4	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	19.0	17.2	18.5	13.6	17.0
NJN	16.1	15.5	13.0	16.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	28	29	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	15.8	17.5	-1.65	15.9	14.9	0.98
Awvee Storey	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-8	9	19.3	16.8	2.55	17.3	15.1	2.23
Jake Voskuhl	18	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	0	-7	18.4	16.6	1.87	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Royal Ivey	71	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-8	9	16.8	17.7	-0.89	15.3	15.1	0.21
Andrew Bogut	71	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-7	7	16.6	18.4	-1.87	15.4	14.5	0.94
Charlie Bell	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	15.2	20.5	-5.28	15.6	14.6	0.95
Bobby Simmons	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	1	-9	19.0	14.4	4.58	14.2	16.6	-2.39
Yi Jianlian	55	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	4	-15	17.7	15.8	1.83	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Mo Williams	86	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	2	-11	16.9	18.7	-1.77	15.4	11.7	3.65

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	71	69	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-7	21	14.9	16.3	-1.37	17.3	15.6	1.75
Sean Williams	58	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-7	21	14.8	16.0	-1.24	18.1	15.0	3.16
Vince Carter	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	1	5	15.3	15.0	0.28	17.1	16.2	0.94
Jason Kidd	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	3	1	14.8	16.7	-1.91	16.8	17.7	-0.93
Jason Collins	21	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	0	7	14.9	15.3	-0.49	17.5	16.8	0.78
Bostjan Nachbar	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	8	-9	15.8	14.9	0.92	15.9	17.6	-1.66
Marcus Williams	19	19	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	4	-1	16.7	14.8	1.91	17.7	16.8	0.93
Malik Allen	26	27	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	9	-11	15.9	15.0	0.92	14.8	17.9	-3.07
Josh Boone	50	50	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	12	-17	15.4	15.0	0.42	16.7	17.2	-0.49
Jamaal Magloire	8	7	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	6	-5	16.2	15.1	1.12	19.1	16.8	2.37
Antoine Wright	19	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	13	-19	15.1	15.3	-0.23	15.4	17.4	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.68,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.99,1	93.8%
DEN 90, NYK 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,1	93.0%
SEA 83, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.9%