NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	90		Excitement	6.3 [516]		MVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): +13.0%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	2.2 [1179]		LVP	Danny Fortson (DEN): -15.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	0.01	-0.05	0.05	11	64%	0.01	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	56%	0.07	6	-0.17	3	100%	0.03
Johnny Newman	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	13	48%	-0.02	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	8	26%	-0.09	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	16	74%	0.23	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.07
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	75%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	13	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	9	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	28.4	15.8	24.1	1.7	34.0	130.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.0%

DEN -7.3%

DEN -2.7%

NYK +10.3%

NYK +12.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NYK	NBA	DEN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.6	101.1	103.3	102.5
season	16.2	15.7		96.7	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.2		98.6	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.6	20.6	15.9	15.0	16.7
NYK	13.8	13.7	14.1	21.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Wolf	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-6	9	16.1	16.8	-0.70	19.6	14.9	4.75
Priest Lauderdale	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	0	-3	27.3	16.0	11.38	10.2	15.8	-5.58
Eric Washington	23	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	-2	1	18.6	16.1	2.55	17.1	14.9	2.15
Danny Fortson	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	1	-5	18.8	15.3	3.46	15.2	15.6	-0.45
Anthony Goldwire	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-5	7	18.2	15.2	3.03	16.7	14.3	2.36
Johnny Newman	64	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	3	-9	15.8	19.0	-3.23	15.1	16.7	-1.59
Tony Battie	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.40	1	-4	5	16.1	18.1	-2.03	15.7	15.0	0.63
Bobby Jackson	62	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-2	1	15.1	20.5	-5.45	15.5	15.5	0.01
Dean Garrett	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	15.3	20.6	-5.29	15.1	16.4	-1.24
Bryant Stith	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	0	-3	17.4	13.4	3.99	14.6	19.3	-4.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	71	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-4	11	14.9	17.6	-2.74	15.8	19.9	-4.17
Charles Oakley	70	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	0	3	15.6	15.0	0.60	16.0	19.0	-3.05
Allan Houston	67	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	3	-3	15.0	16.8	-1.77	15.1	21.3	-6.12
Larry Johnson	51	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	3	-3	15.5	15.4	0.05	15.8	18.0	-2.15
Charlie Ward	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	-1	5	14.7	16.0	-1.32	15.4	17.8	-2.38
Chris Childs	51	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	4	-5	16.0	14.7	1.32	17.8	15.4	2.38
John Starks	37	37	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	3	-3	15.9	15.2	0.68	17.9	15.9	2.05
Chris Mills	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	16.7	14.6	2.05	19.8	14.6	5.23
Chris Dudley	27	28	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	3	-3	15.5	15.4	0.07	20.6	15.0	5.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 84, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.99,1,1	94.2%
NYK 87, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
BOS 83, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%