NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	95		Excitement	5.9 [668]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +14.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	102		Comeback	1.8 [900]		LVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): -21.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	3	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	12	59%	0.01	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Jason Hart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	13	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	17	52%	-0.02	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	16	36%	-0.10	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	13	69%	0.15	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	15	70%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	62%	0.06	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	31.0	15.8	26.1	2.3	37.7	139.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +42.8%

MEM +10.4%

CHA -8.7%

MEM +8.7%

CHA -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MEM	NBA	CHA	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.5	97.9	107.4	104.0
season	15.5	16.4		99.0	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		101.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.7	17.7	16.1	11.8	14.2
MEM	15.1	15.9	18.2	14.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	11	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-9	11	15.1	14.1	0.96	17.2	15.6	1.59
Matt Carroll	33	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.26	8	-15	23	13.1	14.8	-1.78	16.9	15.3	1.66
Jason Hart	26	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	14.1	14.3	-0.22	15.6	15.8	-0.28
Melvin Ely	39	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-4	1	14.0	14.4	-0.44	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Emeka Okafor	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-6	5	14.7	12.3	2.38	16.2	13.7	2.52
Brevin Knight	77	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	14.3	13.8	0.49	15.5	17.0	-1.51
Gerald Wallace	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	14.3	14.0	0.25	16.0	15.0	0.92
Primoz Brezec	78	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.25	-10	3	-13	13.9	15.7	-1.80	15.5	16.8	-1.36
Keith Bogans	70	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.06	-19	12	-31	14.5	13.4	1.10	15.3	17.3	-1.96

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	69	70	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.26	13	-6	19	15.6	16.2	-0.52	14.1	14.5	-0.34
Lorenzen Wright	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	-2	11	16.1	15.1	1.01	14.6	13.5	1.09
Mike Miller	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	1	5	15.4	16.8	-1.42	14.1	14.5	-0.35
Earl Watson	55	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.30	-2	9	-11	15.3	16.5	-1.20	13.4	15.3	-1.91
Shane Battier	73	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	8	-9	15.7	15.9	-0.17	13.3	17.2	-3.85
Jason Williams	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	0	7	16.1	15.5	0.65	15.4	13.4	1.98
Dahntay Jones	23	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	4	-1	16.9	15.4	1.50	15.3	13.9	1.46
Bonzi Wells	25	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.01	6	1	5	15.9	15.7	0.19	16.0	13.5	2.43
Pau Gasol	56	59	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	13	-19	15.8	15.7	0.06	13.9	14.7	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
NOH 87, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
MEM 82, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%