inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 85 Excitement5.6 [662] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +30.9%
Dallas Mavericks 90 Comeback1.1 [1213] LVPLinas Kleiza (DEN): -15.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Carter0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.150.060.100.011471%0.254-0.1000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.00275%0.0500.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
J.R. Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.011250%0.032-0.0800%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.050,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.021131%-0.0500.004100%0.02
Allen Iverson-0.090,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.060.000.031749%0.025-0.111369%-0.04
Kenyon Martin-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.050.031136%-0.092-0.0600%0.00
Linas Kleiza-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16-0.08-0.040.03842%-0.063-0.10862%-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.28,0.29,0.310.310.210.140.041780%0.383-0.076100%0.02
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.00283%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.04-0.00475%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.00-0.060.06-0.001844%0.073-0.07786%0.02
Erick Dampier00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01367%0.043-0.05367%-0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.012342%0.012-0.062100%0.01
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01333%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.0040%-0.081-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.630.419.627.03.038.3148.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +36.1%
DAL +1.9%
DAL +4.9%
DAL +4.9%
DAL +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game13.317.615.493.494.7105.7
season13.316.1108.2108.9
opponent15.415.2105.0105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.313.412.612.913.3
DAL15.618.517.918.417.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yakhouba Diawara88-0.13-0.370.250.08-72-912.713.4-0.6118.517.51.02
Eduardo Najera3636-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-2-112.913.6-0.6520.415.94.50
Anthony Carter6972-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-3113.213.7-0.4916.819.9-3.04
Kenyon Martin6770-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.25-3-2-113.612.41.2717.816.90.93
Linas Kleiza7579-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.433-81113.412.70.6817.617.50.08
J.R. Smith4043-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.17-72-913.013.5-0.5517.317.7-0.40
Allen Iverson8387-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.432-7913.412.70.6117.518.5-1.02
Marcus Camby7780-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.24-83-1113.413.10.2816.921.3-4.47

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeSagana Diop57540.490.010.480.229-41318.216.71.4713.912.41.57
Josh Howard82790.460.040.410.257-2917.319.5-2.2813.313.10.26
Eddie Jones59580.440.060.370.237-2915.820.5-4.6813.512.90.63
Dirk Nowitzki69660.390.110.280.2450517.019.1-2.0813.512.80.64
Jason Terry71680.230.27-0.040.41-611-1718.315.32.9912.715.1-2.38
Devin Harris26250.200.30-0.11-0.017-2916.218.1-1.8915.012.72.39
Brandon Bass36340.190.31-0.120.1614-318.716.81.9012.613.7-1.05
Jose Juan Barea14130.130.37-0.240.0723-119.417.22.1813.813.20.54
Erick Dampier32320.020.48-0.460.14-49-1317.217.8-0.5712.913.5-0.62
Trenton Hassell2926-0.040.54-0.590.04-38-1119.716.63.0512.013.8-1.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 83, LAL 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,194.4%
NOH 88, UTA 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,194.3%
GSW 101, UTA 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.98,194.3%