NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	5.0 [795]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +29.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	2.3 [558]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -24.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.04	0.01	12	85%	0.26	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	71%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	2	83%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	13	48%	0.07	5	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Carlos Boozer	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.22	-0.10	-0.08	16	18%	-0.11	4	-0.14	2	0%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.19	0.09	-0.02	15	70%	0.30	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.03	3	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	56%	0.05	4	-0.09	12	83%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	0.04	9	45%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	27.4	14.8	27.1	2.4	27.3	126.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +1.7%

POR +19.4%

POR +9.9%

POR +13.7%

POR +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.4	97.8	113.2	105.7
season	15.5	16.7		111.2	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		106.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	16.2	16.4	13.0	15.2
POR	15.3	17.3	16.3	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	42	44	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.25	10	-24	34	13.5	16.6	-3.09	16.6	16.3	0.38
CJ Miles	45	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-17	20	14.3	16.1	-1.78	16.9	16.0	0.84
Jarron Collins	17	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-16	18	14.1	15.5	-1.34	14.9	16.8	-1.91
Jason Hart	23	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-15	16	13.6	15.7	-2.14	15.3	16.9	-1.56
Matt Harpring	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-8	2	17.2	14.1	3.05	15.8	16.8	-0.97
Ronnie Price	6	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-9	4	18.5	15.0	3.52	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Kyle Korver	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-9	4	14.0	16.2	-2.20	16.4	16.5	-0.06
Ronnie Brewer	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	0	-14	15.9	14.4	1.49	16.5	16.4	0.13
Carlos Boozer	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	4	-22	15.7	14.0	1.67	17.0	15.0	1.96
Deron Williams	74	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	2	-18	15.4	14.5	0.84	17.0	14.3	2.69
Mehmet Okur	58	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.12	-22	8	-30	16.2	13.5	2.61	16.1	17.0	-0.86

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-3	20	17.0	15.1	1.85	15.2	15.1	0.11
Steve Blake	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	1	12	16.5	16.4	0.09	16.0	14.2	1.80
Jarrett Jack	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	4	6	17.1	13.9	3.22	14.7	17.3	-2.65
Martell Webster	50	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	4	6	16.6	16.3	0.31	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Joel Przybilla	42	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	7	0	16.1	16.7	-0.55	16.0	14.5	1.50
Travis Outlaw	48	47	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	9	-4	16.1	16.9	-0.80	14.8	15.6	-0.83
James Jones	41	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	10	-6	16.3	16.6	-0.31	15.3	15.2	0.10
Sergio Rodriguez	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	12	-10	15.5	17.2	-1.70	14.7	15.6	-0.96
Brandon Roy	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	11	-8	15.8	16.6	-0.82	16.3	14.9	1.33
Channing Frye	27	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	15	-16	16.3	16.5	-0.20	14.5	15.5	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 80, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIL 96, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.96,1	94.5%
SAC 97, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%