NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	5.6 [548]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +10.1%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	3.1 [562]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -18.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.04
Ersan Ilyasova	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.05	19	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Larry Sanders	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	12	38%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.17	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	11	27%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	10	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.06	0.04	18	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.02	-0.06	13	48%	0.09	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	13	54%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
JaJuan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.01	12	42%	-0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	29.2	15.6	22.2	2.5	37.2	133.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +38.9%

BOS +4.0%

BOS +2.2%

BOS +3.4%

BOS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	15.9	15.6	99.0	106.2	102.8
season	14.6	15.5		103.8	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.6		97.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.3	13.3	17.2	12.4	14.0
BOS	16.0	16.1	14.8	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	11	11	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-12	18	14.9	13.9	1.03	16.5	15.8	0.78
Larry Sanders	27	26	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-11	16	14.7	13.7	0.98	16.8	15.5	1.25
Jon Brockman	4	5	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-13	20	6.5	14.3	-7.82	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Beno Udrih	43	43	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.36	13	-19	32	14.0	14.0	-0.04	16.6	15.3	1.32
Tobias Harris	22	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-5	4	14.4	13.9	0.47	16.5	15.6	0.88
Mike Dunleavy	63	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-11	16	13.7	14.6	-0.91	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Shaun Livingston	36	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	8	-22	13.9	14.1	-0.22	15.6	16.0	-0.34
Ersan Ilyasova	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	14.5	12.7	1.80	15.6	16.6	-1.06
Brandon Jennings	68	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	2	-10	13.5	15.2	-1.77	15.9	15.9	-0.00
Drew Gooden	70	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	8	-22	13.9	14.3	-0.36	15.6	16.6	-1.01
Carlos Delfino	71	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.01	-23	17	-40	14.4	13.0	1.42	15.5	16.7	-1.26

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	69	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	15.9	15.7	0.26	13.7	14.7	-0.98
Ray Allen	65	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-3	12	15.6	16.4	-0.79	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Paul Pierce	70	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	1	4	15.8	15.9	-0.09	13.7	15.0	-1.27
Chris Wilcox	50	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	0	6	15.7	16.0	-0.28	16.4	11.6	4.83
Brandon Bass	74	73	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.36	-3	9	-12	16.6	13.2	3.47	14.0	13.9	0.11
Kevin Garnett	63	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	-2	10	15.5	16.5	-1.01	13.1	16.2	-3.10
Mickael Pietrus	31	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	4	-2	16.1	15.7	0.36	14.9	13.6	1.28
Keyon Dooling	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	3	0	15.3	16.1	-0.80	13.8	14.1	-0.30
JaJuan Johnson	3	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	12	-18	14.7	15.9	-1.23	4.5	14.2	-9.70
Avery Bradley	27	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	8	-10	15.7	15.9	-0.26	14.7	13.7	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 75, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
UTA 89, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
PHX 91, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%