NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	5.7 [699]		MVP	Ed Davis (MEM): +19.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	3.7 [442]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -9.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	0.00	15	58%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	8	32%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	38%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	53%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Dionte Christmas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	13	32%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Archie Goodwin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.09	0.01	11	64%	0.22	1	-0.02	11	45%	-0.07
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.04	0.04	13	82%	0.17	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	8	59%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Franklin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	15	51%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.0	27.8	16.5	26.5	2.4	27.5	126.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +40.1%

MEM +0.9%

PHX -0.3%

MEM +9.0%

MEM +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	16.8	15.1	100.0	122.2	105.2
season	14.7	16.4		107.7	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.9		103.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	13.3	16.2	15.4	15.1
MEM	14.5	17.4	17.3	18.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	49	47	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.22	8	-27	35	15.2	14.9	0.32	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Viacheslav Kravtsov	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	14.6	15.1	-0.50	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Ish Smith	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	14.6	15.1	-0.50	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Archie Goodwin	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-16	13	12.4	16.2	-3.77	15.8	17.2	-1.34
Dionte Christmas	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-16	13	17.2	14.9	2.24	16.7	16.8	-0.04
Gerald Green	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-14	9	15.0	15.2	-0.24	16.8	16.7	0.09
Marcus Morris	47	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-19	19	14.2	16.0	-1.88	17.1	16.4	0.69
Channing Frye	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-7	-5	15.5	14.7	0.87	17.8	15.8	2.03
PJ Tucker	43	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-7	-5	15.6	14.6	0.96	16.6	16.9	-0.36
Goran Dragic	65	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	2	-23	15.9	13.0	2.91	18.3	13.2	5.10
Miles Plumlee	58	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	3	-25	15.4	14.5	0.83	16.1	17.7	-1.62
Eric Bledsoe	63	62	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.01	-19	0	-19	14.9	15.4	-0.51	15.6	19.4	-3.83

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	56	57	0.79	-0.29	1.07	-0.06	29	-10	39	17.5	15.5	1.97	15.8	13.9	1.86
Mike Conley	71	73	0.73	-0.23	0.95	-0.12	29	-10	39	16.3	18.4	-2.04	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Tony Allen	46	47	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.10	26	-7	33	17.0	16.5	0.59	15.0	15.2	-0.16
Ed Davis	61	63	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.03	21	-2	23	16.1	18.0	-1.89	15.5	14.1	1.35
Kosta Koufos	60	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	3	13	17.2	15.8	1.38	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Jon Leuer	57	56	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	15	-11	17.1	16.2	0.95	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Jerryd Bayless	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	23	-27	16.8	16.7	0.15	15.4	14.8	0.60
Jamaal Franklin	14	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	25	-31	13.9	17.3	-3.35	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Nick Calathes	19	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.07	-10	29	-39	18.4	16.3	2.04	15.5	15.0	0.53
Mike Miller	28	29	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	29	-39	15.7	17.2	-1.51	14.7	15.3	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.99,1	94.2%
MIL 96, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.96,1	94.2%
WAS 103, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%