NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	6.3 [523]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +18.9%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.3 [1019]		LVP	Brendan Haywood (WAS): -16.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	11	74%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	23	51%	0.10	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.09	0.00	10	50%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	30%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.02	9	33%	-0.06	3	-0.11	6	33%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.09	0.02	19	61%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	10	68%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	7	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	18	42%	0.05	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	13	34%	-0.04	4	-0.08	6	67%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	25.6	15.7	27.2	2.7	36.2	133.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.4%

IND +11.0%

IND +6.1%

IND +19.8%

WAS -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	17.2	13.7	15.4	91.4	98.9	105.7
season	16.1	13.8		106.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.9	17.1	16.8	16.8	17.2
IND	13.4	12.9	16.0	12.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-7	6	15.0	17.3	-2.33	9.8	13.9	-4.10
Andray Blatche	28	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-3	-2	18.0	16.8	1.16	11.9	14.4	-2.47
Nick Young	39	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	17.0	17.3	-0.26	11.7	15.1	-3.39
Dominic McGuire	24	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-4	0	16.0	17.6	-1.61	12.7	14.0	-1.23
Darius Songaila	69	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-5	2	17.2	17.1	0.09	13.5	14.1	-0.61
DeShawn Stevenson	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	16.9	17.8	-0.91	14.5	11.6	2.86
Roger Mason Jr.	80	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-5	2	17.2	16.8	0.35	14.0	11.3	2.72
Brendan Haywood	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	17.2	16.9	0.32	14.6	11.0	3.58
Antawn Jamison	83	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	0	-8	17.5	13.9	3.64	14.0	10.1	3.94

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	48	48	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-6	20	13.6	13.8	-0.22	16.5	17.9	-1.43
Mike Dunleavy	71	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-4	16	13.4	14.5	-1.07	16.9	18.0	-1.19
Jermaine O'Neal	67	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	5	-2	13.9	13.2	0.68	16.9	17.7	-0.78
Danny Granger	75	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	7	-6	14.0	12.5	1.43	17.1	17.3	-0.24
Jamaal Tinsley	69	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	9	-10	14.6	11.0	3.58	16.8	18.1	-1.29
Kareem Rush	41	44	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	1	6	12.9	14.3	-1.36	17.1	17.2	-0.16
Marquis Daniels	28	28	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	2	4	11.6	14.5	-2.94	18.5	16.6	1.88
Shawne Williams	5	6	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	5	-2	9.6	13.9	-4.30	18.7	17.0	1.62
Ike Diogu	8	7	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	7	-6	16.0	13.5	2.55	15.4	17.3	-1.86
Troy Murphy	58	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	14	-20	13.9	13.3	0.64	18.3	15.3	3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.65,0.57,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.5%
NJN 106, VAN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	93.0%
SAC 89, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.9%