NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	106		Excitement	7.0 [414]		MVP	Michael Dickerson (VAN): +43.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies	108		Comeback	1.5 [507]		LVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): -13.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.37	0.13	0.28	0.03	23	72%	0.54	5	-0.17	12	92%	0.03
Lucious Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	83%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	14	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.02	12	71%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.43	0.43	0.02	0.41	-0.01	19	58%	0.52	2	-0.08	12	92%	0.07
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	13	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	19	61%	0.16	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	24.9	15.5	25.5	2.6	49.2	142.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +22.3%

VAN +2.6%

VAN +13.7%

VAN +7.8%

VAN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	VAN	NBA	NJN	VAN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.3	15.2	109.3	112.5	101.7
season	15.5	15.9		102.1	99.5
opponent	15.0	14.7		105.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	16.3	12.7	14.3	14.6
VAN	14.5	13.2	18.6	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	63	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.38	8	-10	18	13.6	16.3	-2.68	15.7	14.7	1.00
Evan Eschmeyer	29	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	4	-10	15.6	14.1	1.42	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Lucious Harris	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	1	-4	15.5	14.2	1.33	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Jamie Feick	65	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-4	6	14.6	14.6	-0.01	16.0	14.0	1.92
Johnny Newman	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-1	0	14.6	14.5	0.06	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Scott Burrell	24	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	8	-18	16.7	13.8	2.91	13.6	15.9	-2.28
Kerry Kittles	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	1	-4	14.6	14.4	0.18	16.1	13.1	3.03
Keith Van Horn	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-5	8	14.1	16.7	-2.61	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	90	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-2	2	14.4	17.0	-2.63	15.2	16.0	-0.76

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	63	63	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.71	2	0	2	16.3	13.4	2.85	14.7	14.4	0.27
Dennis Scott	40	42	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-7	16	15.2	15.4	-0.16	16.2	13.3	2.88
Michael Dickerson	82	83	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.48	-4	6	-10	15.5	14.3	1.18	14.3	16.4	-2.10
Mike Bibby	81	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	0	2	14.9	17.5	-2.66	14.0	16.9	-2.86
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	66	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	1	0	15.4	15.0	0.41	14.2	15.3	-1.08
Milt Palacio	15	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	2	-2	17.5	14.9	2.66	16.9	14.0	2.86
Othella Harrington	58	60	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	2	-2	15.6	14.9	0.70	14.9	14.1	0.81
Felipe Lopez	25	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	1	0	12.6	16.2	-3.64	14.5	14.6	-0.02
Grant Long	48	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	3	-4	14.7	15.9	-1.21	13.6	15.5	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	93.3%
LAC 99, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.1%
SAC 89, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%