NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	6.1 [610]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +29.5%
Houston Rockets	106		Comeback	1.2 [1047]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -15.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.20	0.00	0.08	19	70%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	22	62%	0.17	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.04
Daniel Ewing	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	18	35%	-0.06	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	16	72%	0.30	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	10	95%	0.29	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.05	-0.04	23	49%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	9	47%	0.02	5	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	11	31%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.7	28.3	16.3	23.3	1.8	42.0	139.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +47.3%

HOU +1.3%

HOU +22.2%

LAC -18.8%

LAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	15.6	106.2	111.6	104.4
season	15.2	16.1		103.9	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.5		101.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	16.2	16.5	14.7	15.4
HOU	14.6	13.7	14.8	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeljko Rebraca	39	37	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.13	8	-12	20	14.7	15.9	-1.20	14.4	15.0	-0.56
Shaun Livingston	68	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-10	16	15.3	15.6	-0.33	15.4	13.2	2.18
Daniel Ewing	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	0	-4	14.3	15.8	-1.51	16.2	14.3	1.94
Cuttino Mobley	82	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-6	8	15.4	15.6	-0.28	14.4	17.2	-2.79
Elton Brand	86	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	15.5	14.8	0.68	14.4	17.3	-2.85
Vladimir Radmanovic	36	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	8	-20	15.7	15.2	0.42	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Sam Cassell	86	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	3	-10	15.8	11.9	3.91	14.5	16.8	-2.34
Chris Kaman	60	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	6	-16	15.6	15.0	0.61	15.4	13.6	1.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	35	37	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-11	26	14.7	14.8	-0.14	16.4	14.8	1.58
Yao Ming	73	73	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-4	12	14.1	17.0	-2.99	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Rafer Alston	70	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	0	4	14.3	16.1	-1.86	16.0	13.8	2.17
Luther Head	31	31	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	1	2	15.7	14.3	1.48	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Charles Hayes	26	27	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-7	18	12.9	15.4	-2.56	16.7	14.9	1.81
Juwan Howard	69	69	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.42	-7	11	-18	15.4	12.9	2.56	14.9	16.7	-1.81
Tracy McGrady	77	78	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.32	-6	10	-16	15.1	13.3	1.81	15.2	16.4	-1.21
David Wesley	72	71	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	8	-12	14.5	15.6	-1.14	14.9	17.0	-2.10
Dikembe Mutombo	22	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	8	-12	17.0	14.1	2.99	15.6	15.3	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
LAC 99, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%
NJN 106, VAN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	93.3%