NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	6.0 [626]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +18.4%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.3 [1111]		LVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): -13.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	14	54%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Francisco Garcia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	15	57%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Omri Casspi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	18	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Antoine Wright	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.00	18	70%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.08	0.03	8	78%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.03	0.04	4	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	16	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	29.0	15.6	25.2	2.0	29.2	124.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.4%

PHX +6.6%

SAC -5.5%

PHX +5.9%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	17.9	15.5	15.5	103.5	119.8	105.7
season	14.9	14.5		102.1	108.0
opponent	15.7	14.9		109.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.3	20.4	16.2	18.2	17.9
PHX	12.7	15.7	15.8	18.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darnell Jackson	28	28	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-15	16	17.9	17.9	-0.02	15.4	15.6	-0.17
Tyreke Evans	75	74	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-13	12	17.5	21.0	-3.51	16.1	12.2	3.83
Luther Head	5	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-12	10	17.2	18.0	-0.79	11.2	15.9	-4.71
Samuel Dalembert	46	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-12	10	18.0	17.9	0.13	15.0	16.2	-1.24
Antoine Wright	18	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-8	2	18.9	17.7	1.20	13.9	16.0	-2.10
Francisco Garcia	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-10	6	18.8	17.4	1.34	16.0	15.3	0.72
Omri Casspi	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	17.6	18.9	-1.27	15.9	14.7	1.22
DeMarcus Cousins	36	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-2	-10	17.9	18.0	-0.04	15.8	15.3	0.48
Carl Landry	62	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.07	-15	1	-16	17.9	18.0	-0.08	15.9	14.8	1.11
Beno Udrih	65	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	6	-26	18.2	17.2	0.93	15.3	16.4	-1.17

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	62	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-3	20	15.4	16.0	-0.57	17.6	18.8	-1.15
Steve Nash	64	63	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	0	14	15.9	14.6	1.22	17.8	18.3	-0.49
Channing Frye	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	1	12	15.9	15.0	0.89	18.6	16.9	1.68
Josh Childress	42	42	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	2	10	17.0	14.2	2.75	18.9	17.1	1.79
Hakim Warrick	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	5	4	16.8	14.6	2.23	19.1	17.0	2.03
Hedo Turkoglu	48	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.05	5	9	-4	14.6	16.8	-2.23	17.0	19.1	-2.03
Robin Lopez	36	35	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	13	-12	15.0	15.9	-0.89	16.9	18.6	-1.68
Grant Hill	39	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	13	-12	14.7	16.2	-1.52	17.4	18.4	-1.01
Jared Dudley	29	29	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.0	15.8	-0.88	18.1	17.9	0.19
Goran Dragic	22	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	14	-14	14.6	15.9	-1.22	18.3	17.8	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,1	93.7%
GSW 100, MIN 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
UTA 104, MEM 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.95,0.89,0.98,1,1,1	93.5%