NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	6.4 [586]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (MEM): +24.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	114		Comeback	1.1 [487]		LVP	Avery Bradley (MEM): -11.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.01	11	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jae Crowder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.15	-0.05	0.11	24	63%	0.10	3	-0.11	12	75%	0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.04
Derrick Favors	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.12	0.03	17	71%	0.27	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.07	0.03	18	72%	0.26	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	13	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	44%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	27.2	14.8	25.4	1.7	30.0	126.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.6%

MEM +0.0%

MEM +10.4%

MEM +4.8%

MEM +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	13.8	15.9	14.3	107.2	117.5	109.3
season	14.3	15.4		109.3	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.3		107.4	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.6	12.7	13.4	15.7	13.8
MEM	15.2	15.0	18.7	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-9	8	10.0	13.8	-3.84	12.5	16.0	-3.46
Royce O'Neale	57	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-12	14	13.6	14.1	-0.55	16.6	14.9	1.65
Grayson Allen	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-7	4	10.7	14.2	-3.46	14.3	16.1	-1.77
Donovan Mitchell	74	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.26	4	-14	18	14.4	11.7	2.71	16.5	13.7	2.85
Thabo Sefolosha	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-7	4	13.5	13.9	-0.44	14.4	16.5	-2.05
Derrick Favors	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	0	-10	13.7	13.9	-0.20	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Jae Crowder	66	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-5	0	13.2	15.2	-2.04	15.6	16.4	-0.73
Kyle Korver	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-6	2	13.3	14.7	-1.43	15.9	15.8	0.14
Rudy Gobert	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	14.6	12.2	2.46	16.4	14.8	1.62
Joe Ingles	73	73	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.14	-22	12	-34	14.3	12.3	1.95	15.3	17.7	-2.48

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	49	49	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-5	20	15.4	16.3	-0.88	15.5	12.1	3.41
Avery Bradley	71	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	0	10	16.3	14.8	1.42	14.5	12.0	2.54
Delon Wright	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	0	10	15.4	16.7	-1.29	12.9	15.4	-2.45
Mike Conley	65	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	2	6	16.0	15.7	0.30	14.1	13.2	0.99
CJ Miles	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	0	10	14.5	17.0	-2.51	13.2	14.3	-1.03
Justin Holiday	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	7	-4	16.7	15.1	1.63	15.3	12.3	3.04
Joakim Noah	41	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	8	-6	17.4	14.7	2.69	13.6	13.9	-0.30
Ivan Rabb	33	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	8	-6	15.2	16.2	-1.02	12.1	14.7	-2.64
Tyler Dorsey	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	10	-10	15.2	16.0	-0.77	13.8	13.8	-0.00
Chandler Parsons	46	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	15.5	16.3	-0.82	12.3	15.3	-3.00
Bruno Caboclo	16	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	16	-22	17.3	15.6	1.71	13.2	13.9	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.95,0.89,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.6%
MEM 95, SAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.76,0.81,0.73,0.84,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1	93.5%
MIN 92, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.85,1	93.5%