NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	5.3 [733]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (DET): +25.3%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.1 [793]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -15.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.04	15	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Monty Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	8	28%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.03	7	45%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	21	50%	-0.00	5	-0.15	12	83%	0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.11	0.00	7	100%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	13	75%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	17	54%	0.04	6	-0.15	12	92%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	48.1	3.6	30.3	17.8	30.6	2.8	37.4	170.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.9%

PHI -1.9%

PHI -2.8%

DET +13.5%

DET +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.3	17.0	15.5	101.2	112.6	101.6
season	15.3	16.8		102.1	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	18.5	16.0	15.3	16.3
DET	14.9	19.4	17.5	16.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	2	3	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-14	17	9.0	16.5	-7.50	9.0	17.2	-8.25
Greg Buckner	44	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-13	15	15.8	16.8	-0.99	16.9	17.0	-0.16
Brian Skinner	12	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-8	5	15.4	16.5	-1.06	14.4	17.3	-2.98
Tyrone Hill	29	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-9	7	15.7	16.6	-0.91	18.0	16.5	1.50
Monty Williams	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-7	3	16.8	16.3	0.51	22.4	16.3	6.11
Keith Van Horn	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-9	7	16.1	16.6	-0.58	16.5	17.5	-0.95
Eric Snow	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-7	3	16.1	16.9	-0.79	16.2	18.6	-2.37
Aaron McKie	49	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	16.3	16.4	-0.14	16.8	17.1	-0.30
Kenny Thomas	29	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	4	-19	18.0	15.5	2.58	17.4	16.8	0.64
Allen Iverson	86	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	16.3	0.0	16.33	17.0	0.0	16.97
Derrick Coleman	65	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	1	-13	17.0	14.4	2.57	17.5	15.1	2.42

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	77	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	17.2	15.3	1.88	16.2	17.3	-1.10
Ben Wallace	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	1	9	16.8	17.6	-0.80	16.2	16.7	-0.55
Clifford Robinson	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	4	3	17.8	15.3	2.54	16.5	16.1	0.39
Mehmet Okur	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	4	3	16.0	17.8	-1.83	17.6	15.2	2.43
Chauncey Billups	59	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	5	1	18.2	14.4	3.74	16.9	14.9	2.01
Tayshaun Prince	52	52	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	7	-3	15.8	18.6	-2.78	15.2	18.0	-2.82
Chucky Atkins	28	26	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	6	-1	14.4	18.2	-3.74	14.9	16.9	-2.01
Corliss Williamson	18	16	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	9	-7	19.4	16.3	3.06	15.7	16.5	-0.71
Michael Curry	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	8	-5	17.0	17.0	-0.00	17.0	16.0	0.95
Jon Barry	9	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	17.0	17.0	0.04	17.2	16.2	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MEM 95, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.99,1	94.4%
LAC 99, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.98,1	94.2%