NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	5.8 [674]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +38.6%
San Antonio Spurs	104		Comeback	1.1 [1181]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -7.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.15	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Andrew Harrison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kobi Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	17	61%	0.12	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Deyonta Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.30	0.10	0.01	24	79%	0.39	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.02	7	59%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	47%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Paul	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	29.3	14.7	24.2	2.3	27.6	124.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +27.5%

SAS +8.9%

MEM -8.9%

SAS +20.4%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	14.7	110.5	116.9	107.5
season	15.4	15.5		103.4	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.6		104.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	17.0	18.2	17.3	16.9
SAS	17.5	13.7	17.0	16.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobi Simmons	9	11	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-12	15	15.2	17.1	-1.91	14.1	16.3	-2.18
Deyonta Davis	24	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-15	21	15.0	17.7	-2.74	15.1	16.4	-1.33
Jarell Martin	38	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-12	15	16.1	17.6	-1.43	14.1	17.5	-3.42
Andrew Harrison	45	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-16	23	16.4	17.5	-1.16	15.2	16.9	-1.76
James Ennis III	43	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-7	5	16.5	17.3	-0.84	15.0	17.1	-2.11
Tyreke Evans	53	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	2	-13	17.4	16.2	1.12	17.1	14.3	2.81
Dillon Brooks	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	4	-17	17.5	15.7	1.86	16.9	14.3	2.67
Ben McLemore	50	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	16.9	16.9	0.02	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Marc Gasol	63	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	5	-19	17.9	14.3	3.53	16.2	15.6	0.54
JaMychal Green	47	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	4	-17	17.3	16.5	0.86	17.8	13.7	4.09

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-7	23	16.8	13.7	3.11	17.5	15.3	2.18
Patty Mills	51	48	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	5	-1	15.6	16.5	-0.83	16.7	17.2	-0.46
Danny Green	49	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-5	19	16.9	14.8	2.09	17.7	15.8	1.86
Manu Ginobili	44	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	2	5	15.2	16.8	-1.57	17.0	16.9	0.09
Brandon Paul	8	7	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	9	-9	14.7	16.1	-1.37	17.6	16.9	0.70
Kyle Anderson	56	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	2	5	16.2	15.6	0.67	16.7	17.3	-0.66
Pau Gasol	55	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	6	-3	15.7	16.5	-0.86	16.4	17.7	-1.23
Tony Parker	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	2	5	17.1	15.4	1.66	17.3	16.7	0.66
Rudy Gay	39	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	10	-11	15.7	16.3	-0.59	17.2	16.8	0.41
Davis Bertans	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	10.0	16.1	-6.14	1.0	17.1	-16.12
Dejounte Murray	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	11	-13	15.0	16.1	-1.11	16.9	16.9	-0.05
Bryn Forbes	34	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	17	-25	15.1	16.6	-1.52	15.7	17.6	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.76,0.81,0.73,0.84,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
DET 92, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.9,1	94.0%
HOU 109, GSW 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.7,0.84,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.0%