NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	5.7 [643]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +20.2%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	1.1 [980]		LVP	Joe Dumars (DET): -16.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	6	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Don Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	15	56%	-0.05	3	-0.06	15	80%	-0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	17	40%	-0.09	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	-0.01	10	81%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.08	-0.04	20	62%	0.23	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Chris Childs	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.01	12	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.03
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	30.1	15.7	24.0	2.5	37.5	134.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.5%

DET -1.6%

NYK +3.4%

NYK +13.6%

NYK +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	16.3	15.6	103.4	106.7	104.4
season	17.1	15.1		107.6	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.2		98.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.5	15.3	15.4	16.2	16.1
NYK	14.0	16.7	16.6	18.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	23	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.14	8	-11	19	14.2	16.7	-2.57	18.6	15.6	3.00
Michael Curry	26	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-11	19	17.4	15.5	1.90	17.8	15.6	2.21
Litterial Green	15	14	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-6	9	16.8	15.9	0.87	19.1	15.7	3.40
Don Reid	14	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-2	1	11.2	17.0	-5.77	14.1	16.7	-2.54
Grant Long	7	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	4	-11	19.3	15.8	3.48	18.0	16.1	1.89
Terry Mills	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.42	8	-11	19	16.5	15.7	0.86	17.3	15.5	1.81
Otis Thorpe	69	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-2	1	15.9	16.6	-0.74	16.1	16.8	-0.73
Rick Mahorn	24	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.12	-16	13	-29	19.7	14.8	4.91	15.1	16.7	-1.58
Grant Hill	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	0	-3	16.0	16.5	-0.51	15.6	19.2	-3.62
Joe Dumars	78	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	2	-7	15.6	19.6	-4.06	15.6	21.8	-6.22
Lindsey Hunter	76	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.32	-9	6	-15	16.0	16.4	-0.36	16.1	17.2	-1.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	77	78	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.22	16	-13	29	16.5	14.7	1.77	16.2	15.1	1.13
Larry Johnson	55	54	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-14	31	15.2	18.0	-2.73	16.5	15.4	1.07
Charles Oakley	73	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	0	3	15.2	21.4	-6.29	15.2	19.8	-4.56
Chris Childs	63	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	1	1	15.7	17.7	-2.05	16.0	16.2	-0.22
John Starks	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.49	-6	9	-15	17.0	13.7	3.23	15.4	18.6	-3.25
Charlie Ward	36	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	5	-7	17.1	15.7	1.44	16.4	15.9	0.47
Allan Houston	45	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	10	-17	16.7	15.8	0.87	16.9	15.3	1.60
Buck Williams	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	8	-13	18.7	15.4	3.38	18.4	15.2	3.14
Walter McCarty	2	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	6	-9	17.0	16.3	0.74	9.7	16.3	-6.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.9,1	94.4%
LAL 102, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.98,1	94.3%
ORL 85, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.99,1	94.2%