NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	5.4 [758]		MVP	Jason Williams (ORL): +12.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	1.0 [961]		LVP	Vince Carter (ORL): -12.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	3	150%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	14	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	17	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	13	41%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	21	40%	-0.06	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.01	20	55%	0.13	2	-0.03	16	31%	-0.12
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	15	44%	0.04	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	20	54%	0.06	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	23%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	28.3	15.3	28.5	2.5	39.4	139.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +18.9%

ORL -4.9%

MIL +29.8%

MIL +4.2%

MIL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.4	15.5	93.4	104.3	105.7
season	15.2	16.2		106.3	100.1
opponent	15.4	16.2		100.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.7	18.1	17.3	15.4	17.1
MIL	15.0	14.6	15.5	12.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	35	36	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.26	12	-23	35	16.5	17.4	-0.97	13.1	15.3	-2.22
Malik Allen	28	29	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-16	21	18.0	16.6	1.42	15.4	14.0	1.48
Brandon Bass	51	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-7	3	17.7	16.2	1.44	15.0	13.8	1.18
Vince Carter	72	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-9	7	16.5	19.0	-2.46	14.1	15.8	-1.77
Rashard Lewis	81	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	1	-13	17.2	15.8	1.41	14.5	14.2	0.26
Quentin Richardson	64	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	6	-23	16.8	17.7	-0.98	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Marcin Gortat	67	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	3	-17	16.9	17.5	-0.66	14.1	15.3	-1.16
Chris Duhon	57	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.08	-23	12	-35	17.3	16.6	0.75	15.2	13.1	2.13

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	70	70	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.06	23	-12	35	13.8	16.4	-2.59	16.5	18.8	-2.28
Andrew Bogut	73	74	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-4	19	14.4	14.4	0.02	17.1	16.8	0.36
Luc Mbah a Moute	67	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-1	13	14.0	15.6	-1.55	16.8	17.7	-0.92
Brandon Jennings	80	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-4	19	14.4	14.9	-0.55	16.9	18.2	-1.28
Larry Sanders	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	4	3	14.8	14.1	0.67	18.2	16.1	2.10
Ersan Ilyasova	60	58	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	11	-11	14.0	15.2	-1.11	16.4	18.2	-1.86
Corey Maggette	20	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	12	-13	15.9	14.0	1.94	19.1	16.4	2.65
Keyon Dooling	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	15	-19	14.9	14.4	0.55	18.2	16.9	1.28
Jon Brockman	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	13	-15	18.0	14.2	3.81	15.7	17.2	-1.49
Chris Douglas-Roberts	29	28	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.03	-10	21	-31	15.4	14.0	1.38	17.3	17.0	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 102, MIN 120	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CHI 96, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%