NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	4.9 [836]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +16.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Comeback	1.0 [486]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -11.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	6	86%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	9	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	23	51%	-0.05	3	-0.05	11	45%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	27	38%	-0.09	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.01	-0.00	21	65%	0.17	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	17	72%	0.17	2	-0.03	13	100%	0.06
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	93%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	6	86%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.16	0.01	-0.07	8	35%	0.03	5	-0.11	4	50%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	28.5	15.6	27.1	1.8	33.2	130.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +38.3%

MIN +20.1%

MIN +8.6%

LAL -17.9%

MIN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	13.3	15.6	104.1	122.4	102.3
season	15.3	15.0		106.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.4		103.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	16.2	14.8	16.5	16.1
MIN	13.7	12.6	13.4	13.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	25	26	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-22	26	15.6	16.2	-0.69	11.3	14.0	-2.68
Slava Medvedenko	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.10	-3	-15	12	17.9	15.9	1.92	14.0	13.3	0.74
Mark Madsen	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-15	12	17.9	15.9	2.00	15.0	13.1	1.85
Devean George	41	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-10	2	16.8	15.6	1.18	13.0	13.6	-0.55
Robert Horry	42	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-12	6	16.6	15.6	1.00	13.5	13.2	0.31
Lindsey Hunter	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-6	-6	16.5	15.7	0.79	12.8	13.9	-1.05
Rick Fox	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-11	4	15.6	16.9	-1.22	13.3	13.3	0.06
Derek Fisher	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-8	-2	16.2	16.0	0.25	14.3	12.6	1.70
Samaki Walker	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-5	-8	15.5	16.9	-1.34	13.3	13.3	0.04
Kobe Bryant	78	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	-4	-10	16.0	16.2	-0.16	13.6	12.2	1.34
Shaquille O'Neal	77	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.00	-18	0	-18	15.7	17.6	-1.91	13.3	13.4	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	79	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.14	26	-8	34	13.6	12.2	1.44	16.4	14.6	1.86
Wally Szczerbiak	85	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	2	14	13.3	13.2	0.10	16.2	15.3	0.88
Chauncey Billups	68	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	2	14	13.4	13.2	0.12	15.6	17.1	-1.50
Rasho Nesterovic	59	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	7	4	13.1	13.7	-0.62	15.3	17.4	-2.06
Anthony Peeler	52	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	9	0	12.7	14.0	-1.25	16.0	16.1	-0.07
Felipe Lopez	37	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	17	-16	13.3	13.3	0.01	16.9	15.6	1.22
Gary Trent	7	8	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	12	-6	12.3	13.4	-1.11	14.5	16.2	-1.71
Loren Woods	14	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	17	-16	12.9	13.4	-0.45	21.7	15.3	6.38
Sam Mitchell	64	64	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	20	-22	13.8	12.5	1.30	15.8	16.6	-0.84
Dean Garrett	24	23	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.12	6	12	-6	13.6	13.2	0.41	15.1	16.4	-1.23
William Avery	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	9.0	13.4	-4.36	0.0	16.1	-16.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
ORL 93, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 93, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%