inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 93 Excitement4.3 [973] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +16.6%
Miami Heat 107 Comeback1.0 [1308] LVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): -5.9%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.01-0.031444%0.0210.00683%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.000.061068%0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Terence Morris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Travis Diener0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.04-0.00-0.041538%-0.0000.00425%-0.03
Tony Battie-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01643%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Mario Kasun-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.010.02745%-0.0300.00683%0.01
Steve Francis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.03-0.031150%0.064-0.10887%0.02
Grant Hill-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.010.05948%-0.0400.00757%-0.01
Pat Garrity-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.0350%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.220.030.092070%0.192-0.031486%0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.02-0.05867%0.113-0.01250%-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.001266%0.174-0.081450%-0.08
Jason Williams0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00856%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.01-0.05750%0.003-0.00667%-0.01
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00346%-0.003-0.06757%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.31.835.816.029.12.833.2146.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +48.2%
MIA +5.7%
MIA +1.5%
ORL -8.4%
MIA +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game16.514.715.6100.0116.3104.4
season16.415.5104.4106.1
opponent15.515.7102.3105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL18.715.618.813.516.5
MIA14.015.015.514.214.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terence Morris210.00-0.500.500.000-14148.016.7-8.6621.014.66.42
Travis Diener650.00-0.500.50-0.093-17204.817.3-12.449.814.9-5.13
Grant Hill4243-0.09-0.410.32-0.214-182214.917.8-2.9013.415.8-2.36
Mario Kasun3229-0.13-0.370.25-0.182-161816.016.7-0.6713.715.1-1.41
Pat Garrity4748-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-10615.717.3-1.5614.614.7-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson2424-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-7019.515.44.0816.214.12.16
Stacey Augmon2121-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-10-4-617.516.21.3616.014.21.81
Keyon Dooling6463-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-6-8215.219.3-4.0714.016.1-2.07
Steve Francis7170-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-9-5-416.915.21.6915.213.02.11
Tony Battie2628-0.31-0.19-0.120.13-151-1618.715.63.0317.113.63.58
Hedo Turkoglu5857-0.38-0.12-0.250.06-151-1617.315.12.2714.415.1-0.79
Dwight Howard7271-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-1-1217.213.83.4414.515.3-0.88

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem79790.53-0.030.560.0616-21814.814.00.7616.913.93.08
Dwyane Wade74740.51-0.010.510.0117-32015.112.82.3317.811.26.68
Antoine Walker75780.440.060.390.061311214.415.7-1.2915.919.2-3.25
Shaquille O'Neal55540.410.090.31-0.0616-21815.812.92.8517.615.02.58
Jason Williams58570.370.130.240.021221015.613.12.4317.514.92.54
Alonzo Mourning29300.090.41-0.310.09014-1413.415.2-1.8116.616.40.19
Shandon Anderson24250.080.42-0.350.02212-1014.514.7-0.2616.216.6-0.37
Gary Payton48470.070.43-0.350.02212-1014.215.2-1.0216.316.6-0.27
Michael Doleac890.000.50-0.500.06-216-1811.215.0-3.739.617.2-7.66
Jason Kapono560.000.50-0.500.09-317-209.814.9-5.134.817.3-12.44
Dorell Wright560.000.50-0.500.09-317-209.814.9-5.134.817.3-12.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 68, SEA 880.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
NYK 88, DET 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
LAC 85, HOU 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%