NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	68		Excitement	3.9 [984]		MVP	Greg Anthony (SEA): +7.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	88		Comeback	1.0 [1258]		LVP	Johnny Newman (DEN): -13.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Washington	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	15	49%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
George Zidek	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.19	-0.01	-0.06	18	32%	-0.07	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	9	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	9	33%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	15	49%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
David Wingate	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	5	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	47%	0.00	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	1.7	27.2	15.6	27.2	1.7	22.3	116.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +15.2%

SEA +16.8%

SEA +10.6%

SEA +6.3%

SEA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SEA	NBA	DEN	SEA	NBA
this game	17.4	15.9	15.6	78.2	102.3	102.5
season	16.2	15.3		96.7	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.2		102.3	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.4	18.4	15.7	18.4	17.4
SEA	13.9	16.6	16.4	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Wolf	29	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-18	16	16.3	18.0	-1.69	17.5	15.0	2.53
George Zidek	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-17	14	22.0	17.1	4.88	22.6	15.5	7.13
Kiwane Garris	22	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-16	12	17.3	17.4	-0.11	17.8	15.1	2.65
Johnny Newman	57	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-14	8	18.1	16.0	2.14	15.9	15.8	0.07
LaPhonso Ellis	64	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-14	8	17.9	16.0	1.91	15.4	17.2	-1.80
Bryant Stith	36	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-14	8	15.5	18.7	-3.25	17.3	14.8	2.48
Dean Garrett	67	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-8	-4	17.7	16.3	1.37	15.2	17.8	-2.60
Anthony Goldwire	65	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	-4	-12	17.4	17.3	0.11	15.1	17.8	-2.65
Eric Washington	34	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.20	-21	1	-22	16.6	17.9	-1.38	16.7	15.3	1.49
Tony Battie	56	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.25	-24	4	-28	17.6	17.0	0.57	14.2	19.0	-4.79

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	62	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.05	18	2	16	16.1	15.4	0.71	18.1	15.8	2.27
Gary Payton	64	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	7	6	14.8	19.0	-4.19	17.1	18.3	-1.17
Jim McIlvaine	37	38	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	6	8	13.8	17.5	-3.69	18.1	16.8	1.29
Hersey Hawkins	60	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	5	10	15.4	17.1	-1.71	17.3	17.6	-0.30
Greg Anthony	39	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	7	6	17.2	14.8	2.42	18.1	16.9	1.23
Dale Ellis	42	42	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	11	-2	18.6	13.2	5.39	15.5	19.1	-3.59
David Wingate	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	11	-2	13.5	17.9	-4.41	18.8	16.2	2.65
Aaron Williams	41	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.14	8	12	-4	17.3	14.6	2.69	17.4	17.4	-0.06
Nate McMillan	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	19	-18	17.9	15.5	2.40	18.8	17.2	1.61
Sam Perkins	28	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	23	-26	16.7	15.5	1.18	15.7	18.2	-2.52
Stephen Howard	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	12.2	16.1	-3.81	11.0	17.6	-6.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, BOS 128	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ORL 93, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAC 81, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.8%