NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	3.9 [1059]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +8.7%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	1.0 [1303]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (NYK): -11.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	21	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	11	68%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	14	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.04	14	59%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	59%	0.05	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	73%	0.08	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	13	48%	-0.02	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	22.5	15.5	26.3	1.6	34.4	128.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +49.1%

DET +4.6%

NYK -6.9%

DET +1.1%

DET +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	15.5	15.5	93.6	104.3	104.0
season	15.8	16.7		103.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.3		98.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	17.4	16.1	13.0	15.4
DET	13.5	16.1	17.4	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	7.0	16.2	-9.24	10.3	16.0	-5.67
Jerome Williams	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-8	7	15.3	15.4	-0.07	16.7	15.3	1.37
Trevor Ariza	53	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-11	13	13.2	18.2	-5.04	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Michael Sweetney	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-10	11	15.1	15.6	-0.56	16.0	14.9	1.15
Tim Thomas	41	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-7	5	14.9	15.7	-0.84	15.2	15.7	-0.45
Anfernee Hardaway	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	15.8	14.9	0.92	16.4	14.4	1.98
Nazr Mohammed	30	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	5	-19	17.8	14.2	3.55	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Jamal Crawford	79	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-7	5	15.7	13.6	2.08	15.8	13.6	2.21
Kurt Thomas	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-1	-7	15.5	14.5	0.98	15.5	14.9	0.61
Stephon Marbury	73	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	12	-33	16.6	10.9	5.79	15.3	15.8	-0.51

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	65	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-9	27	15.8	14.7	1.05	16.7	12.1	4.62
Chauncey Billups	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-9	27	15.7	14.8	0.95	17.2	11.0	6.15
Ben Wallace	65	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	1	7	15.5	15.4	0.08	16.1	13.6	2.53
Rasheed Wallace	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-3	15	16.3	13.7	2.59	16.8	12.5	4.32
Tayshaun Prince	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	-4	17	16.2	13.3	2.97	16.7	11.6	5.11
Antonio McDyess	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	5	-1	16.2	14.7	1.43	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Carlos Arroyo	36	38	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	15	-21	15.0	15.8	-0.78	12.1	17.6	-5.45
Ronald Dupree	22	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	15	-21	13.4	16.1	-2.73	11.2	16.6	-5.44
Horace Jenkins	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	10.4	15.9	-5.55	5.0	16.2	-11.18
Darko Milicic	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	10.3	16.0	-5.67	7.0	16.2	-9.24
Lindsey Hunter	18	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	13	-17	13.7	15.9	-2.21	11.8	16.3	-4.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAC 90, CHH 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NJN 75, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%