NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	3.8 [1010]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): +17.0%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	1.1 [863]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -15.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.01	-0.07	15	50%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	18	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	3	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	16	46%	-0.02	6	-0.09	5	60%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	31%	-0.08	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.02	-0.06	20	69%	0.21	4	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	14	76%	0.10	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	13	38%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	14	37%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	24.2	15.5	25.2	1.5	27.2	119.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +31.2%

CHH +0.7%

CHH +6.7%

CHH +10.2%

CHH +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHH	NBA	SAC	CHH	NBA
this game	13.8	15.7	15.5	92.8	103.1	100.9
season	14.4	15.8		103.1	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.0	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	14.6	14.7	12.0	13.8
CHH	15.9	15.4	16.7	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-11	11	14.3	13.7	0.55	14.4	15.9	-1.53
Darrick Martin	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-15	19	15.9	13.4	2.48	15.9	15.7	0.18
Scot Pollard	46	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-14	17	12.9	14.6	-1.65	15.0	16.4	-1.45
Lawrence Funderburke	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-12	13	15.9	13.4	2.44	15.7	15.7	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	41	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-8	5	14.7	13.1	1.56	16.5	15.1	1.40
Jon Barry	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-9	7	13.1	15.0	-1.86	15.7	15.8	-0.18
Chris Webber	82	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	1	-13	13.4	15.9	-2.44	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Vlade Divac	51	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	3	-17	14.6	12.9	1.65	16.4	15.0	1.45
Jason Williams	81	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	4	-19	13.4	15.9	-2.48	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Doug Christie	82	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	6	-23	13.8	13.8	0.00	15.5	16.6	-1.05

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	69	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.20	26	-15	41	15.2	17.0	-1.76	14.0	13.2	0.78
Baron Davis	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-5	21	15.8	15.4	0.41	14.0	12.6	1.40
Jamal Mashburn	83	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-6	23	15.8	15.3	0.54	13.6	14.9	-1.38
David Wesley	81	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	6	-1	15.9	15.1	0.73	13.3	15.9	-2.56
P.J. Brown	67	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	9	-7	16.1	14.9	1.15	14.1	13.3	0.80
Hersey Hawkins	22	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	8	-5	15.2	15.9	-0.64	14.8	13.5	1.31
Lee Nailon	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.18	-4	15	-19	15.8	15.7	0.15	12.9	14.2	-1.34
Eddie Robinson	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	12	-13	15.1	15.8	-0.70	17.1	13.4	3.67
Eldridge Recasner	11	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	11	-11	14.4	15.9	-1.53	14.3	13.7	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 88, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAC 77, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DET 78, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%