inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 75 Excitement4.0 [624] MVPRay Allen (MIL): +3.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 95 Comeback1.0 [720] LVPKeith Van Horn (NJN): -16.7%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lucious Harris0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jim McIlvaine0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Evans-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01340%-0.0100.004100%0.02
Earl Boykins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02450%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Kerry Kittles-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.041543%-0.012-0.02560%-0.02
Chris Gatling-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.04729%-0.033-0.0300%0.00
Jayson Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.02657%-0.003-0.072100%0.01
Scott Burrell-0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.001746%0.004-0.10333%-0.02
Kendall Gill-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.210.01-0.051414%-0.113-0.0400%0.00
Keith Van Horn-0.170,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.13-0.030.011539%-0.074-0.093100%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.000.02979%0.103-0.076100%0.03
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07786%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.05736%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.02540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jamie Feick00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elliot Perry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adonis Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01560%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tyrone Hill0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.01-0.03756%0.033-0.04450%-0.01
Armen Gilliam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01569%0.022-0.04683%0.01
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.020.032045%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.011136%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.726.515.530.41.830.1130.2
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +31.9%
MIL +5.3%
NJN -6.4%
MIL +18.2%
MIL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNMILNBANJNMILNBA
this game16.513.915.879.899.099.6
season15.015.896.5102.4
opponent16.415.6100.9100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN16.218.116.714.916.5
MIL17.211.913.313.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Evans34350.02-0.520.53-0.197-273415.517.0-1.5513.214.3-1.08
Jim McIlvaine16180.02-0.520.53-0.104-242813.117.2-4.0910.114.8-4.65
Lucious Harris22-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-181628.016.211.7917.013.83.18
Earl Boykins1920-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-222414.317.0-2.7510.414.8-4.34
Chris Gatling4546-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-5-151015.517.4-1.9010.217.3-7.04
Jayson Williams6263-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-16-4-1217.414.72.6415.810.35.51
Scott Burrell7171-0.43-0.07-0.370.15-200-2017.114.62.4514.911.03.85
Kendall Gill7172-0.49-0.01-0.490.30-277-3417.114.32.7914.412.32.13
Keith Van Horn6565-0.50-0.00-0.490.18-233-2617.115.02.1615.710.15.60
Kerry Kittles8588-0.520.02-0.530.07-200-2016.020.8-4.7813.616.7-3.12

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen57580.470.030.43-0.1822-22414.113.60.4517.015.61.46
Tyrone Hill55570.460.040.41-0.2524-42814.812.72.1417.614.72.85
Terrell Brandon64640.450.050.41-0.2825-53014.013.70.2016.716.00.67
Glenn Robinson59590.430.070.35-0.2523-32614.013.80.2117.315.12.14
Ervin Johnson33320.200.30-0.090.03614-815.513.02.4416.416.5-0.13
Michael Curry43400.180.32-0.140.03515-1013.414.3-0.8916.216.6-0.40
Vinny Del Negro44440.140.36-0.21-0.24137613.813.9-0.0817.215.81.40
Armen Gilliam38380.130.37-0.23-0.01515-1015.313.02.2817.315.91.35
Dell Curry31290.020.48-0.450.05-121-2215.613.12.5517.116.20.98
Robert Traylor32280.010.49-0.470.13-424-2812.114.8-2.7313.917.5-3.65
Jamie Feick870.000.50-0.500.18-626-327.714.4-6.699.017.1-8.06
Elliot Perry870.000.50-0.500.18-626-327.714.4-6.699.017.1-8.06
Adonis Jordan870.000.50-0.500.18-626-327.714.4-6.699.017.1-8.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 76, DET 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
ORL 81, CHI 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.5%
MIA 96, IND 1070.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%