NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	96		Excitement	3.7 [1071]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +14.4%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.0 [629]		LVP	Norris Cole (MIA): -5.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.00	0.07	18	69%	0.08	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	7	87%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	18	66%	0.10	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	12	35%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Mario Chalmers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Norris Cole	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	13	71%	0.18	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	12	71%	0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	11	73%	0.11	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
George Hill	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	79%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	49%	0.06	1	-0.03	13	69%	-0.02
Solomon Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.3	31.5	17.7	33.3	4.4	37.7	153.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.2%

IND +11.8%

IND +3.5%

MIA -1.5%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	IND	NBA	MIA	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	17.3	15.1	106.7	120.2	105.2
season	15.6	15.8		109.7	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.8		99.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.5	16.5	16.3	12.5	14.8
IND	15.5	17.8	18.0	18.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toney Douglas	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	0.0	14.8	-14.84	32.0	17.2	14.82
James Jones	6	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-10	9	15.8	14.8	1.06	13.4	17.7	-4.25
Norris Cole	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-9	7	16.7	14.2	2.43	16.1	17.8	-1.73
Chris Andersen	37	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.16	3	-14	17	13.9	15.5	-1.66	16.6	17.9	-1.28
Shane Battier	31	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-13	15	13.6	15.5	-1.88	18.0	17.0	0.98
Ray Allen	57	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-15	19	13.9	16.4	-2.45	17.6	17.0	0.55
Udonis Haslem	17	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-3	-5	18.4	14.0	4.40	18.4	17.1	1.37
Dwyane Wade	73	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-2	-7	15.3	13.0	2.27	17.7	16.1	1.62
Chris Bosh	58	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	5	-21	15.5	13.7	1.84	17.5	17.0	0.58
Mario Chalmers	70	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	4	-19	14.2	16.9	-2.71	17.5	16.9	0.64
LeBron James	78	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	2	-15	14.7	15.7	-0.95	17.0	19.1	-2.13

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-8	27	16.9	19.1	-2.21	15.2	13.1	2.13
Paul George	71	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	0	11	16.9	19.1	-2.14	14.8	14.9	-0.11
David West	60	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-2	15	17.7	16.6	1.08	15.4	13.6	1.80
Lance Stephenson	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-1	13	17.8	15.0	2.79	15.1	13.3	1.85
George Hill	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	0	11	18.0	15.5	2.47	15.0	14.3	0.73
CJ Watson	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	13	-15	15.9	18.3	-2.36	13.2	15.9	-2.66
Rasual Butler	18	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	10	-9	16.0	17.7	-1.69	16.4	14.5	1.86
Luis Scola	28	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	13	-15	16.1	17.9	-1.86	13.6	15.4	-1.80
Solomon Hill	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	32.0	17.2	14.82	0.0	14.8	-14.84
Chris Copeland	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	32.0	17.2	14.82	0.0	14.8	-14.84
Lavoy Allen	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	32.0	17.2	14.82	0.0	14.8	-14.84
Donald Sloan	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	32.0	17.2	14.82	0.0	14.8	-14.84
Ian Mahinmi	17	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	19	-27	18.4	17.1	1.24	13.1	15.2	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 75, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAC 98, POR 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAC 77, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%