NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	3.6 [1058]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +10.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	121		Comeback	1.0 [1258]		LVP	Tyrone Nesby (LAC): -8.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Murdock	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	90%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Charles R. Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	17	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	14	86%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	19	51%	-0.00	4	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	17	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.02	0.05	10	79%	0.10	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	13	67%	0.10	3	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.05	6	100%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	80%	0.09	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Antonio Harvey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	64%	0.02	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.4	15.4	27.7	1.6	27.7	127.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +42.2%

POR +0.2%

POR +7.7%

LAC -1.6%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.7	13.8	15.2	104.3	127.4	101.7
season	15.6	15.9		95.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	14.3		99.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.9	15.1	17.2	17.7	16.7
POR	11.4	16.9	11.6	15.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles R. Jones	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-20	17	15.5	16.8	-1.28	15.4	13.7	1.72
Anthony Avent	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	15.5	16.8	-1.28	15.2	13.7	1.55
Keith Closs	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-20	17	15.5	16.8	-1.28	15.4	13.7	1.72
Brian Skinner	47	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-24	25	17.0	16.4	0.55	14.7	12.9	1.76
Tyrone Nesby	39	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-16	9	17.4	16.3	1.09	14.1	13.5	0.66
Troy Hudson	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-14	5	16.3	17.1	-0.82	13.4	14.1	-0.75
Eric Murdock	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-11	-1	16.6	16.8	-0.16	13.3	14.1	-0.77
Michael Olowokandi	50	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-5	-13	16.0	17.5	-1.55	13.7	13.9	-0.22
Lamar Odom	88	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.06	-15	-8	-7	16.7	16.3	0.42	13.6	15.1	-1.48
Derek Anderson	70	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.18	-24	1	-25	16.6	17.2	-0.60	13.8	13.6	0.25
Maurice Taylor	77	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.13	-23	0	-23	17.3	14.1	3.18	13.4	15.6	-2.29

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.19	24	-1	25	13.8	13.7	0.04	16.8	16.4	0.47
Rasheed Wallace	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.10	20	3	17	13.8	13.8	-0.02	17.3	15.3	1.95
Steven Smith	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	5	13	13.8	13.7	0.15	16.4	17.6	-1.20
Damon Stoudamire	61	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	3	17	12.9	15.4	-2.51	16.4	17.3	-0.85
Scottie Pippen	79	80	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.13	19	4	15	13.3	15.9	-2.53	16.4	18.7	-2.34
Detlef Schrempf	44	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	20	-17	13.0	14.4	-1.35	16.3	17.1	-0.75
Greg Anthony	34	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	20	-17	15.4	12.9	2.51	17.3	16.4	0.85
Bonzi Wells	31	29	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	18	-13	13.7	13.8	-0.04	17.6	16.4	1.20
Antonio Harvey	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	15.4	13.7	1.72	15.5	16.8	-1.28
Stacey Augmon	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	15.4	13.7	1.72	15.5	16.8	-1.28
Jermaine O'Neal	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	26	-29	17.7	13.2	4.46	17.5	16.6	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
BOS 99, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CLE 75, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%