NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	4.8 [848]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (ATL): +11.6%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	1.0 [1137]		LVP	Travis Best (CHI): -15.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	16	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.05
Eddy Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.03	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Travis Best	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	13	21%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.03	-0.08	5	71%	0.12	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.02	8	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	12	65%	0.09	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	18	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	8	48%	0.02	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	29.0	15.5	25.4	2.4	28.6	127.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.9%

CHI -0.9%

ATL +14.6%

CHI -7.8%

ATL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.6	98.0	116.7	102.3
season	15.6	15.5		96.3	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	16.0	14.8	16.2	15.6
ATL	12.2	12.8	15.8	15.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-21	26	16.4	15.4	1.07	16.2	13.6	2.61
Eddie Robinson	24	22	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-21	26	13.1	16.4	-3.28	14.9	13.9	0.97
Charles Oakley	31	32	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-17	18	15.5	15.6	-0.11	16.1	13.1	2.97
A.J. Guyton	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	16.5	15.5	0.98	12.0	14.2	-2.23
Dalibor Bagaric	19	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-15	14	15.7	15.5	0.15	16.3	13.6	2.73
Jamal Crawford	49	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-15	14	15.0	16.1	-1.12	14.6	13.6	1.02
Marcus Fizer	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-11	6	13.6	16.6	-2.95	15.9	13.1	2.78
Eddy Curry	56	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	16.2	14.7	1.48	12.2	16.6	-4.37
Travis Best	49	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	-1	-14	16.1	15.0	1.12	13.6	14.6	-1.02
Tyson Chandler	55	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	1	-18	15.5	15.7	-0.16	12.4	16.2	-3.77
Trenton Hassell	70	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.07	-21	5	-26	16.4	13.6	2.79	13.9	14.8	-0.90
Jalen Rose	81	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	4	-24	15.8	14.6	1.18	14.1	14.1	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	82	86	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.02	23	-7	30	13.7	16.8	-3.13	15.9	13.4	2.44
Alan Henderson	78	80	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.06	24	-8	32	13.5	16.8	-3.35	15.6	15.2	0.48
Ira Newble	72	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-3	22	13.8	15.1	-1.35	16.1	13.9	2.18
DerMarr Johnson	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-2	20	13.8	14.6	-0.78	16.5	13.9	2.60
Nazr Mohammed	56	60	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	0	16	13.1	15.6	-2.55	15.8	15.2	0.53
Jacque Vaughn	37	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	16	-16	15.1	13.5	1.57	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Hanno Mottola	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	20	-24	15.6	13.1	2.44	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Leon Smith	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	14.0	14.1	-0.12	17.0	15.5	1.47
Mark Strickland	12	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	18	-20	15.8	13.9	1.96	14.2	15.8	-1.57
Cal Bowdler	11	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	22	-28	16.2	13.8	2.33	12.7	15.9	-3.19
Toni Kukoc	29	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	25	-34	15.9	13.3	2.55	13.2	16.5	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 85, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.99,1	95.0%
CHA 80, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%