NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	5.8 [661]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +27.8%
Miami Heat	109		Comeback	1.0 [1283]		LVP	Ryan Kelly (LAL): -9.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.03	0.01	13	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.04	15	63%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Nick Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	-0.03	0.04	0.01	20	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Robert Sacre	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kendall Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	40%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Ryan Kelly	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.21	0.10	0.02	22	70%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	15	63%	0.24	5	-0.10	13	54%	-0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.3	29.7	19.3	27.3	3.0	36.0	143.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +54.5%

LAL -9.2%

MIA +6.0%

LAL -8.7%

MIA +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIA	NBA	LAL	MIA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.1	107.4	114.7	105.2
season	14.0	15.6		102.9	109.7
opponent	15.8	14.8		105.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	13.5	12.1	16.8	14.6
MIA	12.8	15.9	16.2	18.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	13.0	15.1	-2.08	14.5	16.1	-1.58
Manny Harris	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-7	7	14.4	14.8	-0.39	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Nick Young	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-13	19	14.5	14.8	-0.34	16.1	15.0	1.11
Jordan Hill	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-8	9	14.8	14.4	0.38	16.3	15.2	1.06
Ryan Kelly	52	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	1	-9	14.5	14.7	-0.14	15.2	16.3	-1.06
Wesley Johnson	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	4	-15	14.5	14.7	-0.21	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Kendall Marshall	72	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	14.4	15.1	-0.70	15.6	16.2	-0.60
Pau Gasol	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	15.1	13.0	2.08	16.1	14.5	1.58
Jodie Meeks	69	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	3	-13	15.0	13.5	1.46	16.1	14.6	1.51

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Chalmers	67	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-11	29	15.2	16.9	-1.67	14.8	14.2	0.58
Chris Bosh	66	65	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	16.1	14.9	1.13	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Ray Allen	55	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-2	11	15.4	16.1	-0.71	15.3	13.6	1.67
LeBron James	75	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	3	1	15.7	15.6	0.08	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Shane Battier	38	39	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-1	9	14.3	16.6	-2.33	15.0	14.3	0.68
Chris Andersen	24	26	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.12	3	4	-1	16.1	15.6	0.55	14.7	14.6	0.18
Rashard Lewis	20	22	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	4	-1	15.6	15.7	-0.08	15.0	14.5	0.46
Norris Cole	54	53	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.28	-6	13	-19	16.7	14.4	2.37	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Michael Beasley	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	12	-17	16.2	15.4	0.84	14.6	14.6	-0.06
Greg Oden	22	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	11	-15	15.8	15.7	0.07	14.4	14.6	-0.22
Roger Mason Jr.	14	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	14	-21	15.3	15.8	-0.50	11.8	15.0	-3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 86, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,1	95.0%
CHA 98, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,1	95.0%
VAN 84, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1	94.8%