NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	6.0 [578]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +14.9%
Houston Rockets	111		Comeback	1.2 [944]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -17.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	14	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	21	58%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	12	59%	0.01	5	-0.16	10	60%	-0.04
Rod Strickland	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	13	41%	-0.10	4	-0.08	8	75%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	19	65%	0.20	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.04	0.03	7	95%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	24	51%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	14	49%	0.03	4	-0.11	9	67%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	29.3	16.4	24.6	2.4	33.3	133.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.8%

HOU +12.2%

HOU +7.8%

WAS -3.5%

HOU +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	12.9	16.5	15.6	103.1	113.3	102.5
season	15.1	15.7		102.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.7	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.8	13.3	12.5	13.0	12.9
HOU	16.0	15.0	16.8	18.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	16	17	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-13	16	13.6	12.8	0.78	19.1	15.9	3.19
Tracy Murray	52	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.36	11	-21	32	11.9	14.1	-2.18	17.8	14.9	2.86
Darvin Ham	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-9	8	12.3	13.1	-0.70	18.5	15.9	2.60
Ledell Eackles	31	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-16	22	11.8	13.4	-1.61	14.8	17.3	-2.55
Ben Wallace	15	13	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-6	2	13.6	12.8	0.82	14.8	16.7	-1.97
Terry Davis	28	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-2	-6	14.9	12.1	2.78	17.2	16.2	1.03
Chris Webber	87	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	0	-10	13.0	12.2	0.82	16.4	17.1	-0.69
Juwan Howard	85	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	2	-14	13.2	11.3	1.85	16.4	16.9	-0.51
Calbert Cheaney	73	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.02	-19	9	-28	13.1	12.2	0.90	15.9	17.9	-2.00
Rod Strickland	83	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.15	-16	6	-22	12.6	14.5	-1.84	15.9	19.5	-3.61

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	68	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.01	21	-11	32	15.9	17.8	-1.90	12.6	13.5	-0.89
Clyde Drexler	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.17	10	0	10	16.2	17.7	-1.53	13.1	12.4	0.67
Kevin Willis	82	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	0	10	15.9	19.5	-3.61	12.8	13.5	-0.69
Charles Barkley	85	84	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	0	10	16.6	15.4	1.26	13.4	10.1	3.23
Brent Price	61	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	9	-8	16.2	16.9	-0.62	12.3	13.8	-1.48
Matt Maloney	38	39	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	-2	14	16.8	16.3	0.46	13.5	12.5	0.92
Othella Harrington	28	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	13	-16	17.8	15.9	1.88	12.3	13.2	-0.90
Matt Bullard	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	14	-18	17.5	16.0	1.52	12.8	12.9	-0.10
Eddie Johnson	20	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	17	-24	18.1	16.1	2.04	13.4	12.8	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 96, SEA 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.93,1,1,1	95.4%
SAS 91, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	95.1%
NYK 74, BOS 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.9,1	94.6%