NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	74		Excitement	5.5 [709]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +4.9%
Boston Celtics	80		Comeback	1.1 [855]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -31.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
John Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Chris Childs	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	16	47%	-0.06	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.32	-0.14	-0.18	-0.00	20	33%	-0.25	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.09

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	12	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	20	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	16	58%	0.01	6	-0.14	6	50%	-0.09
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	9	40%	-0.04	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	28.4	15.4	31.4	2.6	42.5	150.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +22.7%

NYK -6.0%

BOS +29.2%

BOS +4.4%

NYK -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.2	83.1	88.9	101.7
season	16.1	14.7		100.0	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.4	16.4	16.9	16.4	16.8
BOS	13.9	14.9	15.8	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-7	8	18.3	16.6	1.68	14.1	15.6	-1.48
Marcus Camby	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-2	-2	18.9	16.5	2.37	13.8	15.6	-1.79
John Wallace	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	17.2	16.6	0.61	17.1	14.4	2.74
Chris Childs	51	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-7	8	16.4	17.3	-0.90	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Larry Johnson	72	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-6	6	16.2	19.3	-3.09	14.6	19.1	-4.54
Latrell Sprewell	82	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-3	0	16.8	16.3	0.56	15.0	19.0	-4.01
Allan Houston	81	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-4	2	16.8	16.7	0.05	15.3	16.1	-0.82
Charlie Ward	45	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	8	-22	17.3	16.3	1.04	15.5	15.3	0.14
Kurt Thomas	59	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	16.5	17.3	-0.76	16.8	12.4	4.39

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	78	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-2	10	15.6	14.2	1.41	16.7	17.4	-0.69
Paul Pierce	82	83	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	15.7	12.6	3.03	17.0	13.5	3.54
Kenny Anderson	73	71	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-2	10	15.6	14.6	0.91	16.8	16.7	0.16
Tony Battie	48	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-4	14	15.6	15.2	0.37	16.7	17.0	-0.32
Antoine Walker	59	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-5	16	15.4	15.5	-0.10	17.3	15.8	1.47
Walter McCarty	31	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	11	-16	15.5	15.4	0.10	15.8	17.3	-1.47
Vitaly Potapenko	42	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	10	-14	15.2	15.6	-0.37	17.0	16.7	0.32
Dana Barros	21	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	8	-10	13.0	16.1	-3.12	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Eric Williams	16	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	10	-14	15.4	15.4	0.06	16.8	16.8	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.95,1,1,1	95.8%
SEA 80, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NYK 102, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.83,1	95.1%