NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	96		Excitement	5.1 [779]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +16.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	112		Comeback	1.1 [955]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (VAN): -18.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	-0.01	0.04	10	100%	0.20	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Roy Rogers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lee Mayberry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Mobley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	13	59%	0.04	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.06
Bryant Reeves	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Blue Edwards	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.03	-0.03	12	15%	-0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.04	0.04	14	94%	0.27	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	83%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	77%	0.12	4	-0.08	12	75%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	65%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.3	2.5	27.3	15.7	29.1	1.8	28.4	138.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +25.6%

SEA +16.2%

VAN -9.2%

SEA +14.3%

SEA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SEA	NBA	VAN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	102.1	120.4	104.4
season	16.3	14.9		97.9	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.5		100.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.0	15.4	15.0	17.4	15.7
SEA	13.8	16.6	15.6	14.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Moten	26	24	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.20	10	-26	36	16.0	15.5	0.47	19.5	13.6	5.82
Eric Mobley	5	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-16	16	13.2	15.8	-2.60	9.0	15.4	-6.42
Roy Rogers	48	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-16	16	15.8	15.5	0.27	15.5	14.8	0.63
Blue Edwards	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-11	6	16.7	14.9	1.81	16.4	14.2	2.30
Pete Chilcutt	23	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-10	4	14.3	16.1	-1.74	13.8	15.5	-1.64
George Lynch	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-11	6	15.2	16.0	-0.80	16.2	14.5	1.77
Bryant Reeves	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-8	0	16.5	13.9	2.62	15.7	13.9	1.73
Lee Mayberry	49	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-3	-10	15.6	15.8	-0.23	13.5	17.1	-3.57
Greg Anthony	54	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-10	4	15.1	16.4	-1.33	16.8	13.1	3.64
Anthony Peeler	59	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.15	-23	7	-30	16.1	14.9	1.23	13.4	18.3	-4.95
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.12	-24	8	-32	15.0	17.3	-2.23	13.8	18.7	-4.90

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	73	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.09	24	-8	32	14.8	16.4	-1.67	16.6	12.3	4.34
Hersey Hawkins	73	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	-1	18	14.3	18.3	-4.09	15.9	14.8	1.09
Gary Payton	80	80	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	1	14	14.9	16.8	-1.98	15.2	18.4	-3.25
Shawn Kemp	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	8	0	13.8	17.5	-3.68	16.7	13.7	2.94
Sam Perkins	41	41	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-1	18	17.5	13.3	4.20	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Jim McIlvaine	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.14	16	0	16	13.1	17.5	-4.37	16.1	15.2	0.97
Eric Snow	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	16	-16	16.5	14.7	1.79	17.9	15.0	2.83
David Wingate	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	18	-20	17.7	14.3	3.41	14.0	16.2	-2.23
Larry Stewart	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	19	-22	19.0	14.7	4.33	10.2	16.3	-6.11
Terry Cummings	33	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.15	-12	28	-40	17.2	14.0	3.17	13.4	17.0	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	95.5%
WAS 101, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.9,1	95.4%
NYK 74, BOS 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.9,1	94.9%