NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	7.4 [314]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +55.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	4.1 [320]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -32.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	15	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,0.12	-0.15	0.23	-0.03	15	33%	0.19	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Tom Hammonds	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	14	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Terry Porter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.04	12	59%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Stanley Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3	-0.14	-0.19	-0.03	17	39%	-0.08	4	-0.23	4	75%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.56	0.56	0.13	0.43	0.00	13	76%	0.59	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.06
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	11	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.10	-0.02	13	50%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.09
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.32	-0.32	-0.12	-0.24	-0.03	18	38%	-0.18	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	25.2	15.6	28.2	1.6	38.0	137.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.7%

POR +9.9%

POR +15.3%

POR +2.3%

POR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	13.4	16.3	15.6	93.9	99.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.9		105.3	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		100.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	13.6	13.5	11.2	13.4
POR	18.3	15.8	16.0	15.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	66	65	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.17	4	-7	11	13.7	12.9	0.71	16.4	16.1	0.26
Terry Porter	57	57	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.51	23	-26	49	12.5	14.7	-2.17	16.9	15.4	1.50
Chris Carr	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-3	3	14.0	13.3	0.66	17.5	16.1	1.40
Stanley Roberts	30	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	4	-11	14.3	13.0	1.32	17.5	15.7	1.75
Cherokee Parks	51	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-2	1	13.9	12.9	0.97	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Anthony Peeler	78	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	1	-5	13.3	13.7	-0.42	16.4	16.1	0.26
Kevin Garnett	85	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	4	-11	13.7	11.8	1.90	15.9	18.5	-2.57
Stephon Marbury	71	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.24	-16	13	-29	13.4	13.4	0.02	15.6	18.2	-2.65
Tom Hammonds	41	40	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.59	-7	4	-11	12.5	14.1	-1.52	16.3	16.3	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	72	73	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.57	9	-6	15	16.9	14.6	2.29	13.4	13.4	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	82	84	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-4	11	15.9	18.5	-2.57	13.7	11.6	2.15
Isaiah Rider	76	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-5	13	16.5	15.5	0.95	13.6	12.6	0.97
Rick Brunson	66	67	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	2	-1	16.7	15.5	1.12	13.4	13.5	-0.19
Stacey Augmon	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-4	11	16.4	16.2	0.15	14.7	12.0	2.76
Walt Williams	50	53	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.36	-6	9	-15	16.2	16.4	-0.21	11.7	15.4	-3.75
Gary Grant	30	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	1	1	15.5	16.7	-1.12	13.5	13.4	0.19
Jermaine O'Neal	10	9	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	4	-5	14.5	16.5	-2.01	13.4	13.4	0.03
Kelvin Cato	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	7	-11	13.4	16.5	-3.06	10.8	13.6	-2.76
Brian Grant	38	38	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.19	-8	11	-19	16.5	16.2	0.37	13.3	13.5	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.6%
UTA 104, MEM 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.95,0.89,0.98,1,1,1	93.5%
CLE 107, PHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,1,1	93.4%