NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	5.6 [734]		MVP	Eddie Griffin (MIN): +11.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Comeback	1.4 [1000]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -26.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.03	13	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney White	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	13	68%	0.13	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	15	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	10	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.23	-0.06	-0.03	16	28%	-0.16	5	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.01	8	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	9	70%	0.17	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.05	0.04	18	66%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	92%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	16	58%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	26.2	15.5	25.7	1.8	25.3	120.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +53.7%

GSW -7.9%

MIN +14.0%

GSW -11.2%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	15.5	103.1	120.8	104.0
season	15.0	15.8		102.3	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.2		104.6	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.6	13.7	14.0	15.3	14.6
MIN	13.2	18.4	15.4	14.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	12.7	14.7	-1.98	11.8	15.4	-3.58
Adonal Foyle	52	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-12	8	15.4	13.8	1.67	14.6	15.9	-1.27
Troy Murphy	63	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-13	10	15.6	12.8	2.81	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Mike Dunleavy	74	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-13	10	14.7	14.6	0.11	15.1	15.7	-0.60
Rodney White	30	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-11	6	12.9	15.4	-2.53	15.5	15.1	0.42
Andris Biedrins	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-10	4	13.7	15.3	-1.54	16.3	14.5	1.79
Zarko Cabarkapa	32	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-7	-2	12.7	15.6	-2.83	16.1	14.7	1.38
Jason Richardson	51	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-4	-8	15.5	13.7	1.90	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Mickael Pietrus	58	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	3	-22	14.1	15.4	-1.27	15.6	14.7	0.89
Baron Davis	83	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	3	-22	15.1	12.1	3.01	15.1	15.5	-0.40

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	74	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-3	22	15.0	15.9	-0.86	14.9	14.0	0.91
Sam Cassell	52	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	1	14	16.8	13.3	3.43	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Latrell Sprewell	79	82	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.09	12	4	8	15.0	16.1	-1.12	15.0	12.9	2.11
Eddie Griffin	48	49	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	2	12	15.0	15.4	-0.35	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Trenton Hassell	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	4	8	14.9	15.8	-0.87	14.7	14.6	0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	51	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	8	0	16.0	14.3	1.71	14.2	15.1	-0.93
John Thomas	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	14	-12	15.6	15.0	0.60	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Troy Hudson	40	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	17	-18	13.8	16.2	-2.31	15.2	14.3	0.93
Anthony Carter	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	8.2	15.5	-7.25	12.7	14.7	-1.98
Michael Olowokandi	43	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	19	-22	15.3	15.1	0.23	14.8	14.5	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIL 85, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SAC 89, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%