inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 87 Excitement4.6 [889] MVPCourtney Lee (MEM): +22.9%
Memphis Grizzlies 103 Comeback1.5 [1036] LVPMarc Gasol (MEM): -7.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.020.03-0.062056%0.175-0.10560%-0.00
Luol Deng0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.001254%0.0600.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.000.01887%0.113-0.0600%0.00
James Ennis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.011057%0.042-0.031100%0.01
Justin Hamilton0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011246%0.021-0.0320%-0.03
Norris Cole-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Shawne Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00729%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.170.04-0.03994%0.2300.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.130.030.028112%0.213-0.0700%0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.021271%0.151-0.034100%0.03
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.001555%0.0700.001100%0.01
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00870%0.082-0.02450%-0.03
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.01850%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jarnell Stokes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Calathes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.000.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.02367%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.02617%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.32.727.315.721.42.327.5118.1
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +38.5%
MEM +11.1%
MEM +5.2%
MIA -5.7%
MEM +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMEMNBAMIAMEMNBA
this game17.416.715.1103.6121.2104.2
season16.015.9102.4103.8
opponent15.215.3100.8105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA19.116.918.715.517.4
MEM15.417.419.215.116.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Hamilton210.00-0.500.500.06-2-141215.017.5-2.4924.016.67.43
Hassan Whiteside210.00-0.500.500.06-2-141215.017.5-2.4924.016.67.43
James Ennis1211-0.01-0.490.470.05-2-141218.017.30.6717.616.51.12
Norris Cole4142-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-161618.016.81.2117.715.62.13
Luol Deng4649-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-131017.517.40.1117.415.61.82
Josh McRoberts4751-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-151417.017.9-0.8817.615.22.42
Chris Bosh6163-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-131017.317.7-0.3117.215.21.93
Udonis Haslem3432-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.00-10-6-417.817.20.6614.917.7-2.81
Shabazz Napier3332-0.36-0.14-0.210.05-14-2-1218.216.91.2415.117.6-2.46
Dwyane Wade6265-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.18-7-9216.719.6-2.9317.015.51.52
Shawne Williams2222-0.39-0.11-0.290.02-14-2-1218.317.11.2114.917.3-2.42
Mario Chalmers5856-0.520.02-0.540.13-226-2817.217.9-0.6615.419.0-3.55

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen38360.53-0.030.560.121421216.217.1-0.9118.716.52.17
Tayshaun Prince53540.430.070.37-0.0918-22015.219.1-3.9616.718.8-2.13
Beno Udrih35360.330.170.17-0.02124815.517.5-1.9516.917.8-0.90
Jon Leuer44440.270.230.04-0.02106416.217.1-0.9417.017.9-1.00
Kosta Koufos33350.270.230.040.0679-215.717.3-1.6217.917.10.88
Marc Gasol51470.230.27-0.040.0379-217.215.91.2517.117.8-0.63
Zach Randolph40400.230.27-0.050.05610-417.615.81.7317.917.01.00
Courtney Lee64620.170.33-0.16-0.01610-418.012.65.4317.417.5-0.16
Mike Conley49460.170.33-0.170.11214-1217.315.71.5817.916.81.12
Jarnell Stokes120.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1224.016.67.4315.017.5-2.49
Nick Calathes120.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1224.016.67.4315.017.5-2.49
Quincy Pondexter1616-0.130.63-0.760.05-622-2816.416.7-0.3517.417.4-0.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 100, MIN 1160.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.9%
DET 94, OKC 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,194.1%
NOH 87, DAL 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.9%