NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	117		Excitement	7.8 [259]		MVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): +20.6%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	2.5 [226]		LVP	Chris Wilcox (SEA): -9.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.00	20	62%	0.28	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Nick Collison	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.00	7	71%	0.22	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	5	120%	0.25	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	6	60%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Jeff Green	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	14	50%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	86%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	18	64%	0.25	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.02	0.05	22	60%	0.18	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	67%	0.16	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	17	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	30.6	17.3	23.5	2.7	35.0	133.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +59.4%

NYK -2.7%

NYK -15.5%

SEA +9.5%

NYK -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NYK	NBA	SEA	NYK	NBA
this game	13.9	16.0	15.4	121.9	113.4	105.7
season	14.5	15.7		99.1	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.0		109.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.3	12.9	15.2	15.3	13.9
NYK	15.9	15.4	17.5	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	55	54	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-4	15	14.2	13.4	0.72	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Nick Collison	61	61	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-3	13	13.9	13.7	0.18	15.5	16.9	-1.40
Kevin Durant	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-1	9	14.0	13.4	0.57	16.3	15.1	1.28
Kurt Thomas	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	13.3	14.9	-1.64	16.0	16.0	0.01
Luke Ridnour	34	35	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	2	3	14.3	13.6	0.64	16.1	15.9	0.17
Earl Watson	55	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	1	5	13.9	13.8	0.17	16.1	15.8	0.26
Wally Szczerbiak	48	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	6	-5	14.7	13.0	1.75	15.4	16.6	-1.20
Mickael Gelabale	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	9	-11	12.9	13.9	-1.07	11.9	16.3	-4.47
Damien Wilkins	51	52	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	13.1	14.8	-1.70	16.1	15.8	0.33
Chris Wilcox	37	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	13	-19	13.6	14.0	-0.33	17.3	15.1	2.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	28	28	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-12	17	14.8	16.5	-1.68	12.7	14.3	-1.66
Fred Jones	39	40	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-7	7	17.0	15.3	1.66	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Eddy Curry	49	49	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-8	9	16.3	15.6	0.66	13.4	14.3	-0.95
Renaldo Balkman	12	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-5	3	16.6	15.9	0.69	14.2	13.8	0.37
Nate Robinson	54	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-6	5	15.0	17.3	-2.29	13.6	14.1	-0.51
Jared Jeffries	47	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-6	5	16.5	15.5	1.03	14.4	13.4	1.07
Zach Randolph	84	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	0	-7	16.3	14.2	2.11	14.0	12.9	1.08
Jamal Crawford	81	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	3	-13	16.6	12.9	3.64	14.2	12.0	2.23
David Lee	67	66	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.28	-17	10	-27	15.2	17.8	-2.64	13.8	13.9	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 100, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	93.1%
DET 80, WAS 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.9%
NJN 109, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.01,0	92.9%