NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	109		Excitement	7.9 [287]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +23.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	2.4 [247]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -11.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	-0.01	0.18	-0.07	13	52%	0.25	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Rodney Buford	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	12	69%	0.24	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.09	0.02	10	67%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jabari Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	26	52%	0.01	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	16	61%	0.16	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	23	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.07
Chris Mihm	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	13	53%	0.08	6	-0.19	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.3	15.7	25.3	2.6	31.5	128.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +70.3%

LAL -15.4%

LAL -39.6%

NJN +32.2%

NJN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAL	NBA	NJN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.5	113.5	110.8	104.0
season	16.0	15.7		99.2	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	14.4	14.5	16.1	14.7
LAL	14.8	17.0	16.2	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Buford	70	69	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.44	8	-2	10	14.6	15.1	-0.49	15.3	17.2	-1.93
Jabari Smith	48	47	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-4	14	13.8	15.7	-1.90	15.2	16.4	-1.18
Jacque Vaughn	79	75	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-1	8	15.0	13.5	1.52	15.6	16.4	-0.76
Jason Kidd	88	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-1	8	14.2	19.9	-5.62	15.9	14.7	1.18
Vince Carter	86	83	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	7	-8	14.8	14.3	0.47	15.5	18.4	-2.94
Billy Thomas	28	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.18	4	2	2	15.3	14.5	0.85	17.2	15.2	1.99
Travis Best	25	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	8	-10	15.5	14.4	1.08	16.0	15.7	0.25
Nenad Krstic	56	53	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	9	-12	15.3	13.9	1.45	16.7	14.5	2.19

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	12	13	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-9	12	12.6	16.2	-3.66	11.9	15.2	-3.23
Tierre Brown	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	-1	-4	18.5	15.4	3.13	14.9	14.7	0.24
Slava Medvedenko	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-2	-2	21.1	15.3	5.81	14.3	14.7	-0.41
Brian Cook	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-5	4	15.9	15.7	0.15	15.4	14.4	0.99
Chris Mihm	48	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-4	2	16.4	15.1	1.37	14.9	14.5	0.47
Jumaine Jones	64	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-6	6	15.0	17.5	-2.48	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Sasha Vujacic	36	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	5	-16	16.9	15.1	1.77	15.6	14.2	1.44
Lamar Odom	86	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-4	2	15.3	21.1	-5.81	14.7	14.3	0.41
Chucky Atkins	81	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-5	4	15.4	18.5	-3.13	14.7	14.9	-0.24
Caron Butler	88	92	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	15.9	13.0	2.93	14.6	17.5	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 117, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	92.9%
ORL 99, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.19,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.04,0	92.8%
IND 100, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.11,0,0,0	92.8%