NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	99		Excitement	7.7 [310]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +19.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	2.3 [542]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (ORL): -19.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	7	71%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.10	-0.00	10	62%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	13	67%	0.28	5	-0.18	19	74%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	6	100%	0.16	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	13	43%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Earl Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	13	40%	-0.01	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	15	68%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	9	35%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	13	55%	0.04	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	13	41%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.15	-0.04	17	55%	0.05	5	-0.20	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	31.1	16.5	26.3	2.3	34.6	138.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +53.4%

ORL +9.8%

PHI -11.7%

PHI -4.8%

ORL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	16.7	15.5	102.1	102.2	105.7
season	15.2	15.5		106.3	104.6
opponent	15.5	16.2		103.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.7	13.3	15.0	12.9	13.7
PHI	17.6	17.4	18.6	13.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	60	58	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.45	9	-5	14	14.0	13.2	0.84	16.5	17.1	-0.57
Jason Richardson	64	62	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.20	13	-9	22	14.1	12.9	1.21	17.6	14.9	2.69
JJ Redick	70	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	-2	8	12.9	15.7	-2.86	15.6	19.5	-3.94
Ryan Anderson	53	53	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	-1	6	14.8	12.4	2.41	16.8	16.5	0.35
Dwight Howard	89	85	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	7	-10	13.5	15.5	-1.98	16.8	15.7	1.04
Earl Clark	49	45	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	-3	10	13.3	14.1	-0.76	17.1	16.3	0.80
Hedo Turkoglu	63	60	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.32	-12	16	-28	13.7	13.6	0.19	16.4	17.2	-0.75
Gilbert Arenas	37	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	9	-14	13.2	14.0	-0.84	17.1	16.5	0.57

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	26	29	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-5	6	15.3	17.2	-1.93	12.8	14.0	-1.22
Tony Battie	38	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-10	16	15.8	17.3	-1.45	12.5	14.6	-2.06
Jrue Holiday	57	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-5	6	17.5	15.5	1.96	13.2	14.4	-1.13
Spencer Hawes	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	0	-4	19.2	15.4	3.84	15.6	12.7	2.86
Thaddeus Young	49	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	8	-20	16.7	16.7	-0.05	13.2	14.2	-0.98
Elton Brand	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-5	6	16.5	17.1	-0.64	14.2	12.5	1.71
Andre Iguodala	75	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	0	-4	16.8	16.3	0.45	14.1	12.1	1.99
Jodie Meeks	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.43	-2	-2	0	17.4	14.6	2.78	13.8	13.4	0.32
Lou Williams	54	58	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	3	-10	14.9	19.2	-4.23	13.5	14.0	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.19,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.11,0,0,0	93.1%
NJN 109, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.01,0	92.8%
LAL 99, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.53,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.24,0.16,0.02,0,0	92.6%