NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	7.5 [350]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +35.8%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	2.2 [273]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -28.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.12	0.21	-0.03	22	66%	0.46	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.07	-0.03	7	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.04	0.04	3	81%	0.12	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Myles Turner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	9	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
George Hill	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	59%	0.11	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.01	0.06	12	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	2	12%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.08
Ty Lawson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	5	90%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.03	0.06	6	90%	0.12	2	-0.08	8	87%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.08	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	14	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.02	19	32%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.20	-0.10	-0.02	13	31%	-0.11	6	-0.18	9	44%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	3.3	30.3	17.0	32.9	1.8	42.2	156.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +60.4%

IND +2.6%

TOR -36.2%

IND +21.4%

IND +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	14.9	105.3	92.8	105.1
season	14.6	16.1		103.2	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.1	14.7	14.2	16.7	14.4
TOR	15.5	16.7	15.8	14.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	74	76	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-6	22	13.9	15.8	-1.86	15.6	15.7	-0.05
George Hill	62	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-3	16	14.2	14.7	-0.57	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Myles Turner	52	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-5	20	14.2	14.6	-0.41	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Monta Ellis	60	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	-1	12	13.7	15.4	-1.65	14.9	17.0	-2.10
CJ Miles	34	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	6	-2	15.3	13.8	1.50	17.3	14.7	2.55
Solomon Hill	50	51	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	9	-8	15.4	13.2	2.20	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Jordan Hill	9	10	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	7	-4	14.9	14.3	0.59	17.1	15.5	1.64
Rodney Stuckey	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	12	-14	15.2	13.8	1.32	16.4	15.1	1.30
Ian Mahinmi	32	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	17	-24	14.7	14.2	0.54	16.2	15.3	0.93
Lavoy Allen	32	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	11	-12	12.7	15.2	-2.57	14.8	16.0	-1.17
Ty Lawson	33	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	13	-16	14.7	14.2	0.57	16.3	15.3	1.02

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	32	32	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.09	-1	-9	8	14.8	16.0	-1.17	12.7	15.2	-2.57
Norman Powell	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-8	6	15.5	15.7	-0.25	12.9	15.2	-2.24
Jonas Valanciunas	45	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-4	-2	15.5	15.8	-0.30	12.8	15.7	-2.95
Cory Joseph	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-3	-4	15.2	16.0	-0.75	14.9	13.7	1.20
Patrick Patterson	55	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-11	12	15.7	15.5	0.27	15.0	13.6	1.37
Terrence Ross	25	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	17.6	14.9	2.66	15.7	13.9	1.84
Bismack Biyombo	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-6	2	17.2	14.2	2.98	15.5	13.3	2.15
DeMarre Carroll	38	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	15.0	16.1	-1.08	15.3	13.7	1.64
Kyle Lowry	84	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	0	-10	15.4	17.2	-1.85	14.5	13.8	0.66
DeMar DeRozan	76	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	1	-12	15.3	16.9	-1.57	14.1	15.2	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.11,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.19,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.04,0	93.1%
NJN 109, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.01,0	92.8%
SEA 117, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	92.7%