NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	100		Excitement	9.0 [125]		MVP	Jason Kapono (TOR): +55.2%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	2.3 [198]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -38.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.44	0.01	0.42	-0.01	19	54%	0.53	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.17	0.01	20	52%	0.27	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.01	11	54%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	50%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0.09	-0.05	0.11	-0.03	7	57%	0.23	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	82%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Javaris Crittenton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Dominic McGuire	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.02	7	50%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.55	0.55	0.15	0.40	-0.00	13	77%	0.59	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.34	0.34	0.10	0.25	0.01	9	68%	0.34	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	11	66%	0.23	2	-0.09	10	70%	-0.03
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Patrick O'Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	12	29%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.17	-0.22	-0.01	16	26%	-0.24	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.6	26.6	16.5	22.2	1.8	39.8	132.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +35.5%

WAS +8.9%

WAS +10.6%

TOR -7.4%

WAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	15.5	101.0	100.0	106.4
season	15.9	15.1		103.5	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.2		108.0	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.8	15.6	13.7	14.5	15.1
TOR	13.8	13.2	15.8	13.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	68	67	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.49	7	-5	12	15.5	14.4	1.13	13.3	15.8	-2.54
Nick Young	33	34	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-2	6	14.3	15.5	-1.20	13.2	14.6	-1.37
Caron Butler	87	87	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	2	-2	15.3	14.2	1.10	14.2	13.2	1.04
Antawn Jamison	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.44	0	2	-2	15.3	14.6	0.64	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Juan Dixon	50	51	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	3	-4	15.1	15.2	-0.14	13.5	14.8	-1.32
Javaris Crittenton	49	47	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	-1	4	15.2	15.1	0.14	14.8	13.5	1.32
Andray Blatche	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	0	2	14.6	15.3	-0.64	16.0	13.5	2.51
Dominic McGuire	78	75	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	2	-2	15.3	14.4	0.89	14.4	13.2	1.16
Darius Songaila	31	31	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	7	-12	14.4	15.5	-1.13	15.8	13.3	2.54

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	56	59	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.02	8	-10	18	14.5	13.6	0.93	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	20	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-5	8	15.5	13.7	1.82	12.9	15.8	-2.86
Patrick O'Bryant	13	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	0	-2	13.2	14.2	-1.09	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Joey Graham	28	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-1	0	14.0	14.2	-0.19	16.0	14.8	1.19
Roko Leni Ukic	30	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	3	-8	15.6	13.4	2.16	13.8	15.7	-1.96
Jose Calderon	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-5	8	13.4	15.6	-2.16	15.7	13.8	1.96
Anthony Parker	48	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	3	-8	12.8	15.3	-2.49	14.9	15.4	-0.53
Shawn Marion	81	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-1	0	13.9	14.9	-1.02	15.1	15.4	-0.34
Chris Bosh	78	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	3	-8	14.2	13.6	0.63	15.3	14.6	0.60
Andrea Bargnani	68	66	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.66	-5	3	-8	14.5	13.1	1.44	16.2	13.1	3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.02,0	94.7%
MEM 99, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	93.5%
SEA 117, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	93.1%