NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	70		Excitement	4.3 [922]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +14.7%
Boston Celtics	80		Comeback	1.9 [1003]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -18.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwayne Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Demetris Nichols	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	3	100%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	14	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	12	36%	-0.05	3	-0.07	9	67%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	12	31%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.05	0.02	11	37%	-0.08	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	16	56%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	54%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	82%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	-0.08	7	19%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	12	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	7	39%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	36.2	15.6	25.0	1.8	28.2	137.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +21.8%

BOS +20.2%

BOS +3.8%

BOS +10.8%

CLE -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	17.4	14.3	15.4	76.9	87.9	105.7
season	16.4	15.6		104.0	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.0	14.6	18.3	17.7	17.4
BOS	11.4	14.2	15.2	16.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	34	36	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-11	12	17.4	17.3	0.08	15.3	13.6	1.69
Dwayne Jones	34	34	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.41	15	-25	40	15.8	18.3	-2.55	14.8	14.0	0.81
Shannon Brown	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-21	32	14.7	17.7	-2.99	18.0	13.9	4.12
Demetris Nichols	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-18	26	13.6	17.7	-4.11	17.5	14.0	3.52
Eric Snow	46	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-14	18	15.6	19.1	-3.50	15.5	13.1	2.42
Ira Newble	32	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-8	6	17.1	17.5	-0.37	16.6	12.9	3.77
Drew Gooden	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	2	-14	18.0	16.1	1.92	13.1	16.5	-3.33
Devin Brown	42	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	6	-22	19.0	15.9	3.13	13.4	15.0	-1.63
Daniel Gibson	64	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	4	-18	17.8	16.4	1.36	13.5	16.0	-2.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.11	-21	11	-32	17.8	16.7	1.11	13.9	14.9	-1.00
Sasha Pavlovic	72	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.16	-24	14	-38	17.8	15.7	2.05	13.3	18.4	-5.11

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	65	65	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.06	23	-13	36	13.6	15.9	-2.24	18.3	15.1	3.20
Paul Pierce	58	56	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.01	18	-8	26	13.1	16.5	-3.40	18.0	16.3	1.66
Rajon Rondo	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-7	24	12.7	17.1	-4.45	17.9	16.4	1.52
Kendrick Perkins	49	49	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-6	22	13.0	15.8	-2.79	18.5	16.0	2.44
Kevin Garnett	52	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-6	22	12.9	16.2	-3.31	17.2	17.6	-0.40
Glen Davis	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	8	-6	15.6	13.4	2.18	17.4	17.3	0.10
Eddie House	38	38	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	15	-20	15.8	13.2	2.67	15.9	18.4	-2.43
Leon Powe	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	21	-32	18.0	13.9	4.12	12.7	17.8	-5.06
Tony Allen	33	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.19	-8	18	-26	16.5	13.1	3.40	16.8	17.7	-0.91
Brian Scalabrine	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.32	-13	23	-36	19.0	13.4	5.57	15.1	17.8	-2.71
James Posey	41	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	15	-20	15.9	13.0	2.90	16.6	18.1	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NYK 76, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAS 84, NOH 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%