NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	76		Excitement	4.1 [998]		MVP	Von Wafer (HOU): +4.6%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	1.8 [834]		LVP	Al Harrington (NYK): -18.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	12	69%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Roberson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.07	13	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	13	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	15	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	10	12%	-0.15	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Von Wafer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	87%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	15	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.11	14	57%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.6	26.3	15.6	24.3	2.4	24.2	116.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +21.2%

HOU +5.2%

HOU +23.1%

NYK -0.2%

HOU +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	13.3	17.5	15.5	80.0	104.3	106.4
season	13.8	16.3		106.2	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		102.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	12.6	15.2	12.2	13.3
HOU	16.9	18.1	14.8	20.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Roberson	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-18	16	12.2	13.7	-1.50	20.5	16.6	3.96
Al Harrington	42	42	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-19	18	13.7	13.1	0.63	17.5	17.6	-0.15
Tim Thomas	51	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-8	-4	13.5	13.1	0.42	19.0	15.9	3.14
Nate Robinson	65	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-8	-4	12.8	14.4	-1.55	18.1	16.4	1.68
Wilson Chandler	65	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-10	0	13.4	13.2	0.15	18.2	16.1	2.12
Jared Jeffries	37	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-8	-4	12.6	13.8	-1.13	16.1	18.4	-2.34
Quentin Richardson	45	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-11	2	13.8	12.9	0.88	15.8	19.1	-3.37
Chris Duhon	78	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	-3	-14	13.9	10.9	2.99	17.3	18.7	-1.47
David Lee	70	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.17	-25	5	-30	13.2	13.6	-0.41	16.6	20.3	-3.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	64	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	-3	26	15.7	21.6	-5.86	13.7	12.5	1.14
Luis Scola	55	59	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.06	23	-3	26	15.5	20.6	-5.17	13.5	13.1	0.32
Rafer Alston	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.14	23	-3	26	17.1	18.6	-1.50	13.9	12.1	1.82
Yao Ming	50	51	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	3	14	16.0	19.4	-3.40	13.9	12.7	1.22
Aaron Brooks	62	64	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	10	0	18.5	15.5	2.97	12.6	14.9	-2.37
Shane Battier	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	16	-12	18.7	16.2	2.44	14.0	12.6	1.41
Brent Barry	32	34	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	18	-16	17.9	17.3	0.57	12.6	13.7	-1.07
Luther Head	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	21.2	17.4	3.89	9.4	13.6	-4.16
Carl Landry	47	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	20	-20	20.0	15.0	5.00	12.7	14.0	-1.31
Charles Hayes	32	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	20	-20	19.9	16.2	3.69	13.2	13.4	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 70, BOS 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 92, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%