NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	4.2 [1007]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +22.9%
Boston Celtics	117		Comeback	1.9 [901]		LVP	Kris Dunn (CHI): -20.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	13	59%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	12	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	41%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	55%	0.03	3	-0.03	8	37%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jerian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Paul Zipser	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.19	-0.04	-0.03	12	8%	-0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.08	0.00	10	83%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	15	78%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	12	38%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	60%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kadeem Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	5	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	24.4	14.5	30.2	1.6	27.2	121.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.4%

BOS +2.4%

CHI -3.6%

BOS +18.0%

CHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	15.3	14.7	92.9	119.4	107.5
season	14.2	15.1		103.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		103.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	12.6	13.0	13.1	14.0
BOS	13.3	17.4	14.1	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	47	46	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.08	4	-29	33	13.4	14.5	-1.16	16.4	14.2	2.18
Nikola Mirotic	45	46	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-28	31	13.9	14.0	-0.15	15.8	14.8	1.08
Quincy Pondexter	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	10.7	14.4	-3.76	16.0	15.2	0.83
Cristiano Felicio	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	10.7	14.4	-3.76	16.0	15.2	0.83
Bobby Portis	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-22	19	14.0	13.9	0.14	16.0	14.7	1.35
Paul Zipser	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-20	15	13.0	14.5	-1.52	16.5	14.5	2.03
David Nwaba	52	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-17	9	13.7	14.2	-0.46	15.6	14.9	0.63
Robin Lopez	35	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-10	-5	15.4	13.2	2.26	14.5	15.6	-1.10
Denzel Valentine	53	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	-6	-13	14.7	13.1	1.57	15.3	15.3	0.04
Justin Holiday	54	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	-7	-11	14.4	13.4	0.96	14.0	16.7	-2.72
Lauri Markkanen	55	54	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.25	-31	6	-37	14.2	13.7	0.52	14.4	16.4	-2.02
Kris Dunn	52	52	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	0.15	-29	4	-33	14.5	13.4	1.16	14.2	16.4	-2.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	57	57	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.30	33	-8	41	14.6	16.2	-1.66	14.6	13.1	1.52
Jaylen Brown	57	58	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.16	28	-3	31	14.2	16.8	-2.55	14.2	13.6	0.61
Al Horford	56	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	6	13	14.4	16.4	-1.93	14.7	12.8	1.92
Jayson Tatum	66	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.14	23	2	21	15.4	15.0	0.46	13.9	14.2	-0.37
Aron Baynes	32	32	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.00	17	8	9	13.8	16.0	-2.22	14.1	13.9	0.18
Abdel Nader	30	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.17	7	18	-11	15.3	15.3	0.04	13.3	14.3	-0.94
Kadeem Allen	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	16.3	15.2	1.13	11.2	14.2	-2.98
Guerschon Yabusele	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	16.3	15.2	1.13	11.2	14.2	-2.98
Terry Rozier	57	57	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.18	5	20	-15	15.9	14.5	1.40	13.1	15.1	-1.95
Daniel Theis	49	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.17	2	23	-21	16.5	14.1	2.39	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Marcus Smart	53	54	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	30	-35	15.8	14.6	1.25	14.0	14.0	0.03
Semi Ojeleye	21	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.10	-10	35	-45	17.6	14.6	2.98	15.5	13.6	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 61, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 83, NJN 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIN 100, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%